Anthropic made Claude Sonnet 5's $2 input / $10 output per million tokens pricing permanent in August 2026 after launching the model on June 30 as a high-capability, agentic option with near-Opus 4.8 performance on coding and tool-use benchmarks at lower cost than prior Sonnet tiers. The move canceled a planned September increase to the older $3/$15 standard rate, reflecting competitive pressure from models like Grok 4.x and Gemini variants plus Anthropic's push for broader adoption in agentic workflows and Claude Code. With a 1M-token context window now standard and prompt caching discounts available, trader sentiment centers on whether further efficiency gains or rival pricing will drive additional cuts before year-end or if $10 holds as the mid-tier equilibrium. Key catalysts include any Q4 model updates or enterprise API adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
31. Dez. 2026
↑ 20 $
26%
↑ 15 $
26%
≤ 8 $
27%
↓ 5 $
27%
$0 Vol.
↑ 20 $
$0 Vol.
26%
↑ 15 $
$0 Vol.
26%
≤ 8 $
$0 Vol.
27%
↓ 5 $
$0 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Sonnet model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Anthropic's latest Claude Sonnet model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet, such as Claude Sonnet 4.6 or Claude Sonnet 5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Sonnet model as defined above, after market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic made Claude Sonnet 5's $2 input / $10 output per million tokens pricing permanent in August 2026 after launching the model on June 30 as a high-capability, agentic option with near-Opus 4.8 performance on coding and tool-use benchmarks at lower cost than prior Sonnet tiers. The move canceled a planned September increase to the older $3/$15 standard rate, reflecting competitive pressure from models like Grok 4.x and Gemini variants plus Anthropic's push for broader adoption in agentic workflows and Claude Code. With a 1M-token context window now standard and prompt caching discounts available, trader sentiment centers on whether further efficiency gains or rival pricing will drive additional cuts before year-end or if $10 holds as the mid-tier equilibrium. Key catalysts include any Q4 model updates or enterprise API adjustments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Sonnet model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Anthropic's latest Claude Sonnet model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet, such as Claude Sonnet 4.6 or Claude Sonnet 5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Sonnet model as defined above, after market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic's latest Claude Sonnet model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet, such as Claude Sonnet 4.6 or Claude Sonnet 5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Sonnet model as defined above, after market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 24, 2026, 4:36 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 24, 2026, 4:36 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricingAbwickler
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Sonnet model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Anthropic's latest Claude Sonnet model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet, such as Claude Sonnet 4.6 or Claude Sonnet 5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Sonnet model as defined above, after market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic made Claude Sonnet 5's $2 input / $10 output per million tokens pricing permanent in August 2026 after launching the model on June 30 as a high-capability, agentic option with near-Opus 4.8 performance on coding and tool-use benchmarks at lower cost than prior Sonnet tiers. The move canceled a planned September increase to the older $3/$15 standard rate, reflecting competitive pressure from models like Grok 4.x and Gemini variants plus Anthropic's push for broader adoption in agentic workflows and Claude Code. With a 1M-token context window now standard and prompt caching discounts available, trader sentiment centers on whether further efficiency gains or rival pricing will drive additional cuts before year-end or if $10 holds as the mid-tier equilibrium. Key catalysts include any Q4 model updates or enterprise API adjustments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Sonnet model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Anthropic's latest Claude Sonnet model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet, such as Claude Sonnet 4.6 or Claude Sonnet 5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Sonnet model as defined above, after market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic's latest Claude Sonnet model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet, such as Claude Sonnet 4.6 or Claude Sonnet 5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Sonnet model as defined above, after market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 24, 2026, 4:36 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricingAbwickler
0x65070be91...Anthropic made Claude Sonnet 5's $2 input / $10 output per million tokens pricing permanent in August 2026 after launching the model on June 30 as a high-capability, agentic option with near-Opus 4.8 performance on coding and tool-use benchmarks at lower cost than prior Sonnet tiers. The move canceled a planned September increase to the older $3/$15 standard rate, reflecting competitive pressure from models like Grok 4.x and Gemini variants plus Anthropic's push for broader adoption in agentic workflows and Claude Code. With a 1M-token context window now standard and prompt caching discounts available, trader sentiment centers on whether further efficiency gains or rival pricing will drive additional cuts before year-end or if $10 holds as the mid-tier equilibrium. Key catalysts include any Q4 model updates or enterprise API adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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