Utah’s newly drawn 3rd Congressional District, encompassing much of southern and eastern Utah including Provo, St. George, and Cedar City, carries a strong Republican lean, with the 2024 presidential results showing a 41-point margin for the GOP. Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination in the June 23 primary by defeating Phil Lyman with roughly two-thirds of the vote after both advanced from the state convention. She faces Democrat Kent Udell, who ran unopposed in his primary, along with minor-party candidates in the November general election. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. The market’s 94.5% Republican consensus reflects the district’s partisan composition and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure, though late developments such as unexpected scandals or turnout shifts could still alter the final margin.