Wyoming's entrenched Republican advantage in federal elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a GOP Senate winner. With the seat open following incumbent Cynthia Lummis's decision not to seek a second term, multiple Republican primary candidates—including U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds endorsements from former President Trump and Lummis—are positioned to advance to the November 3, 2026 general election. Democratic primary contenders remain limited and face the state's consistent partisan tilt, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. The upcoming August 18 primary and general election timeline leave room for late developments such as candidate health issues or unforeseen controversies to influence the outcome, though such shifts have historically been rare in this contest.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$10,519 Vol.
$10,519 Vol.

Republikaner
94%

Demokrat
4%
$10,519 Vol.
$10,519 Vol.

Republikaner
94%

Demokrat
4%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican advantage in federal elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a GOP Senate winner. With the seat open following incumbent Cynthia Lummis's decision not to seek a second term, multiple Republican primary candidates—including U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds endorsements from former President Trump and Lummis—are positioned to advance to the November 3, 2026 general election. Democratic primary contenders remain limited and face the state's consistent partisan tilt, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. The upcoming August 18 primary and general election timeline leave room for late developments such as candidate health issues or unforeseen controversies to influence the outcome, though such shifts have historically been rare in this contest.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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