Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in statewide elections underpins the market's strong consensus for a GOP victory in the 2026 Senate race. The open seat following incumbent Cynthia Lummis's decision not to seek reelection has drawn multiple Republican primary contenders, including U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, while Democratic options remain limited. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's voting patterns and structural advantages for the party nominee heading into the August primaries and November general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually competitive Republican primary producing a weakened nominee or unexpected national political shifts, though these remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$10,519 Vol.
$10,519 Vol.

Republikaner
94%

Demokrat
6%
$10,519 Vol.
$10,519 Vol.

Republikaner
94%

Demokrat
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in statewide elections underpins the market's strong consensus for a GOP victory in the 2026 Senate race. The open seat following incumbent Cynthia Lummis's decision not to seek reelection has drawn multiple Republican primary contenders, including U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, while Democratic options remain limited. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's voting patterns and structural advantages for the party nominee heading into the August primaries and November general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually competitive Republican primary producing a weakened nominee or unexpected national political shifts, though these remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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