Polymarket traders price an 85.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's June 10 policy rate decision at 2.25%, reflecting Governing Council’s March 18 hold amid balanced inflation and labor risks. February CPI eased to 1.8% annually—below target—while core measures hovered near 2.3%, curbing cut urgency; March employment added just 14,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 6.7%, signaling softening without recessionary pressure. January GDP grew modestly 0.1% month-over-month, supporting pause after prior cuts. Consensus forecasts steady rates through mid-2026, with April 29 announcement and March CPI data as key near-term catalysts before June.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBank of Canada decision in June?
Bank of Canada decision in June?
No change 86%
25 bps decrease 8%
Increase 7%
50+ bps decrease 3.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 jun 2026
50+ bps decrease
3%
25 bps decrease
8%
No change
86%
Increase
7%
No change 86%
25 bps decrease 8%
Increase 7%
50+ bps decrease 3.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 jun 2026
50+ bps decrease
$188 Vol.
3%
25 bps decrease
$836 Vol.
8%
No change
$3,569 Vol.
86%
Increase
$804 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 85.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's June 10 policy rate decision at 2.25%, reflecting Governing Council’s March 18 hold amid balanced inflation and labor risks. February CPI eased to 1.8% annually—below target—while core measures hovered near 2.3%, curbing cut urgency; March employment added just 14,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 6.7%, signaling softening without recessionary pressure. January GDP grew modestly 0.1% month-over-month, supporting pause after prior cuts. Consensus forecasts steady rates through mid-2026, with April 29 announcement and March CPI data as key near-term catalysts before June.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Volumen
$5,397Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 85.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's June 10 policy rate decision at 2.25%, reflecting Governing Council’s March 18 hold amid balanced inflation and labor risks. February CPI eased to 1.8% annually—below target—while core measures hovered near 2.3%, curbing cut urgency; March employment added just 14,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 6.7%, signaling softening without recessionary pressure. January GDP grew modestly 0.1% month-over-month, supporting pause after prior cuts. Consensus forecasts steady rates through mid-2026, with April 29 announcement and March CPI data as key near-term catalysts before June.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$5,397Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price an 85.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's June 10 policy rate decision at 2.25%, reflecting Governing Council’s March 18 hold amid balanced inflation and labor risks. February CPI eased to 1.8% annually—below target—while core measures hovered near 2.3%, curbing cut urgency; March employment added just 14,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 6.7%, signaling softening without recessionary pressure. January GDP grew modestly 0.1% month-over-month, supporting pause after prior cuts. Consensus forecasts steady rates through mid-2026, with April 29 announcement and March CPI data as key near-term catalysts before June.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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