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Política·Canadá

Ganador de las elecciones parciales provinciales de Calgary-Shaw

icon for Ganador de las elecciones parciales provinciales de Calgary-Shaw
Política·Canadá

Ganador de las elecciones parciales provinciales de Calgary-Shaw

Mike Derry 73%

Kyle Campbell 24%

Kyle Joseph 5%

John Roggeveen 3.5%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Mike Derry 73%

Kyle Campbell 24%

Kyle Joseph 5%

John Roggeveen 3.5%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Mike Derry

Mike Derry

$25 Vol.

73%

icon for Kyle Campbell

Kyle Campbell

$25 Vol.

24%

icon for Kyle Joseph

Kyle Joseph

$0 Vol.

5%

icon for John Roggeveen

John Roggeveen

$0 Vol.

4%

A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).The United Conservative Party's strong position in the traditionally conservative Calgary-Shaw riding drives Mike Derry's leading market share, following his June 2026 nomination win over city councillor Dan McLean. The September 14 by-election, triggered by the resignation of former UCP MLA Rebecca Schulz, features limited competition from NDP candidate Kyle Campbell and minor-party entrants including Kyle Joseph and John Roggeveen. Recent party nominations and the short campaign window have reinforced trader consensus around the UCP's incumbency advantages and local voter base, while lower probabilities for alternatives reflect weaker organizational support and historical results in the district. Upcoming nomination deadlines and any late endorsements could still influence final positioning before votes are cast.

A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
Volumen
$50
Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 6:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).The United Conservative Party's strong position in the traditionally conservative Calgary-Shaw riding drives Mike Derry's leading market share, following his June 2026 nomination win over city councillor Dan McLean. The September 14 by-election, triggered by the resignation of former UCP MLA Rebecca Schulz, features limited competition from NDP candidate Kyle Campbell and minor-party entrants including Kyle Joseph and John Roggeveen. Recent party nominations and the short campaign window have reinforced trader consensus around the UCP's incumbency advantages and local voter base, while lower probabilities for alternatives reflect weaker organizational support and historical results in the district. Upcoming nomination deadlines and any late endorsements could still influence final positioning before votes are cast.

A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
Volumen
$50
Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 6:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones parciales provinciales de Calgary-Shaw" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mike Derry" con 73%, seguido de "Kyle Campbell" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 73¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 73% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones parciales provinciales de Calgary-Shaw" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 21, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones parciales provinciales de Calgary-Shaw", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones parciales provinciales de Calgary-Shaw" es "Mike Derry" con 73%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 73% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Kyle Campbell" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones parciales provinciales de Calgary-Shaw" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.