Connecticut's 1st congressional district carries a D+12 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, establishing the primary driver behind the 95.9% trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Luke Bronin secured the nomination by defeating longtime incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary, positioning the former Hartford mayor against Republican Amy Chai in the November 3 general election. Major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the district's consistent voting patterns. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities remain narrow and would require a major scandal, sharp turnout deviation, or late national development to meaningfully impact the outcome before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCT-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CT-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$11,721 Vol.
$11,721 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
96%
Partido Republicano
3%
$11,721 Vol.
$11,721 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$2,926 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$8,795 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 1st congressional district carries a D+12 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, establishing the primary driver behind the 95.9% trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Luke Bronin secured the nomination by defeating longtime incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary, positioning the former Hartford mayor against Republican Amy Chai in the November 3 general election. Major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the district's consistent voting patterns. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities remain narrow and would require a major scandal, sharp turnout deviation, or late national development to meaningfully impact the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$11,721Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 1st congressional district carries a D+12 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, establishing the primary driver behind the 95.9% trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Luke Bronin secured the nomination by defeating longtime incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary, positioning the former Hartford mayor against Republican Amy Chai in the November 3 general election. Major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the district's consistent voting patterns. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities remain narrow and would require a major scandal, sharp turnout deviation, or late national development to meaningfully impact the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$11,721Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut's 1st congressional district carries a D+12 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, establishing the primary driver behind the 95.9% trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Luke Bronin secured the nomination by defeating longtime incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary, positioning the former Hartford mayor against Republican Amy Chai in the November 3 general election. Major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the district's consistent voting patterns. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities remain narrow and would require a major scandal, sharp turnout deviation, or late national development to meaningfully impact the outcome before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes