Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a maximum temperature near 12–13 °C in Buenos Aires on August 23 under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and stable high pressure with no precipitation. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for 13 °C (44.5 %) and 12 °C (27 %), reflecting trader consensus on these values as the most likely outcomes given current model runs and the absence of dynamic weather systems. Seasonal norms for late winter place typical highs around 16 °C, but recent cooler conditions and a lack of northerly flow keep probabilities for 14 °C or higher modest at 17.5 % combined. Updated model guidance and official observations through the evening of August 22 will be the key near-term inputs for any further shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 23 de agosto?
13°C 45%
12°C 32%
14°C 16%
11°C 8%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
32%
13°C
45%
14°C
16%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 45%
12°C 32%
14°C 16%
11°C 8%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
32%
13°C
45%
14°C
16%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a maximum temperature near 12–13 °C in Buenos Aires on August 23 under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and stable high pressure with no precipitation. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for 13 °C (44.5 %) and 12 °C (27 %), reflecting trader consensus on these values as the most likely outcomes given current model runs and the absence of dynamic weather systems. Seasonal norms for late winter place typical highs around 16 °C, but recent cooler conditions and a lack of northerly flow keep probabilities for 14 °C or higher modest at 17.5 % combined. Updated model guidance and official observations through the evening of August 22 will be the key near-term inputs for any further shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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