A polar air mass advancing from Patagonia, reinforced by high-pressure dominance and southerly flow, has driven recent cooling across the Río de la Plata region, with official forecasts placing the August 23 minimum near 4–7 °C under mostly clear skies. Radiative cooling overnight will be modulated by low dew points, light winds, and any thin high cloud that limits heat loss, while the urban heat-island effect at the official station may temper the lowest reading. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet the near-even market odds between 8 °C-or-higher and −2 °C-or-below reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing before dawn. Historical late-August lows average near 7–9 °C, underscoring how this transient cold surge has shifted probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Buenos Aires el 23 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Buenos Aires el 23 de agosto?
8°C or higher 77%
7°C 39%
-2°C or below 38%
2°C 31%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
-2°C or below
38%
-1°C
23%
0°C
29%
1°C
28%
2°C
31%
3°C
26%
4°C
25%
5°C
22%
6°C
21%
7°C
39%
8°C or higher
77%
8°C or higher 77%
7°C 39%
-2°C or below 38%
2°C 31%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
-2°C or below
$0 Vol.
38%
-1°C
$0 Vol.
23%
0°C
$0 Vol.
29%
1°C
$0 Vol.
28%
2°C
$0 Vol.
31%
3°C
$0 Vol.
26%
4°C
$0 Vol.
25%
5°C
$0 Vol.
22%
6°C
$0 Vol.
21%
7°C
$20 Vol.
39%
8°C or higher
$15 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A polar air mass advancing from Patagonia, reinforced by high-pressure dominance and southerly flow, has driven recent cooling across the Río de la Plata region, with official forecasts placing the August 23 minimum near 4–7 °C under mostly clear skies. Radiative cooling overnight will be modulated by low dew points, light winds, and any thin high cloud that limits heat loss, while the urban heat-island effect at the official station may temper the lowest reading. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet the near-even market odds between 8 °C-or-higher and −2 °C-or-below reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing before dawn. Historical late-August lows average near 7–9 °C, underscoring how this transient cold surge has shifted probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$35Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A polar air mass advancing from Patagonia, reinforced by high-pressure dominance and southerly flow, has driven recent cooling across the Río de la Plata region, with official forecasts placing the August 23 minimum near 4–7 °C under mostly clear skies. Radiative cooling overnight will be modulated by low dew points, light winds, and any thin high cloud that limits heat loss, while the urban heat-island effect at the official station may temper the lowest reading. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet the near-even market odds between 8 °C-or-higher and −2 °C-or-below reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing before dawn. Historical late-August lows average near 7–9 °C, underscoring how this transient cold surge has shifted probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$35Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...A polar air mass advancing from Patagonia, reinforced by high-pressure dominance and southerly flow, has driven recent cooling across the Río de la Plata region, with official forecasts placing the August 23 minimum near 4–7 °C under mostly clear skies. Radiative cooling overnight will be modulated by low dew points, light winds, and any thin high cloud that limits heat loss, while the urban heat-island effect at the official station may temper the lowest reading. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet the near-even market odds between 8 °C-or-higher and −2 °C-or-below reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing before dawn. Historical late-August lows average near 7–9 °C, underscoring how this transient cold surge has shifted probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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