Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF points to clear to partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds moderating overnight radiative cooling, producing a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 23 most likely between 24–27 °C. Sea-surface temperatures near 28–30 °C limit how far the air can cool, while expected dew points around 21–24 °C and calm nocturnal winds reduce turbulence that could otherwise mix in warmer air. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 24–25 °C, and the absence of any approaching trough or significant moisture keeps the outlook stable. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 24–27 °C reflects this model agreement, with residual spread arising from small differences in forecast cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tel Aviv el 23 de agosto?
22°C 31%
26°C 20%
24°C 19%
25°C 19%
21°C or below
16%
22°C
31%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
20%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
13%
22°C 31%
26°C 20%
24°C 19%
25°C 19%
21°C or below
16%
22°C
31%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
20%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF points to clear to partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds moderating overnight radiative cooling, producing a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 23 most likely between 24–27 °C. Sea-surface temperatures near 28–30 °C limit how far the air can cool, while expected dew points around 21–24 °C and calm nocturnal winds reduce turbulence that could otherwise mix in warmer air. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 24–25 °C, and the absence of any approaching trough or significant moisture keeps the outlook stable. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 24–27 °C reflects this model agreement, with residual spread arising from small differences in forecast cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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