Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Tel Aviv on August 22, driven by persistent Mediterranean sea breezes, moderate northwest winds, and high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty in exact overnight lows, as small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Higher outcomes near 32°C gain support from daytime heat carryover and limited cooling, while cooler probabilities around 22°C or below align with historical August climatology but appear less likely given current model runs showing minimal cold advection. Updated ECMWF and GFS guidance expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tel Aviv el 22 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tel Aviv el 22 de agosto?
22°C or below 59%
32°C or higher 36.2%
27°C 31%
28°C 29%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
22°C or below
59%
23°C
1%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
31%
28°C
29%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
36%
22°C or below 59%
32°C or higher 36.2%
27°C 31%
28°C 29%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
22°C or below
$97 Vol.
59%
23°C
$83 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$1 Vol.
31%
28°C
$0 Vol.
29%
29°C
$5 Vol.
6%
30°C
$56 Vol.
3%
31°C
$25 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$42 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Tel Aviv on August 22, driven by persistent Mediterranean sea breezes, moderate northwest winds, and high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty in exact overnight lows, as small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Higher outcomes near 32°C gain support from daytime heat carryover and limited cooling, while cooler probabilities around 22°C or below align with historical August climatology but appear less likely given current model runs showing minimal cold advection. Updated ECMWF and GFS guidance expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volumen
$308Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Tel Aviv on August 22, driven by persistent Mediterranean sea breezes, moderate northwest winds, and high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty in exact overnight lows, as small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Higher outcomes near 32°C gain support from daytime heat carryover and limited cooling, while cooler probabilities around 22°C or below align with historical August climatology but appear less likely given current model runs showing minimal cold advection. Updated ECMWF and GFS guidance expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$308Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Tel Aviv on August 22, driven by persistent Mediterranean sea breezes, moderate northwest winds, and high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty in exact overnight lows, as small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Higher outcomes near 32°C gain support from daytime heat carryover and limited cooling, while cooler probabilities around 22°C or below align with historical August climatology but appear less likely given current model runs showing minimal cold advection. Updated ECMWF and GFS guidance expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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