Forecast models from meteorological agencies point to a maximum temperature of 37°C in Chongqing on September 7 as the most probable outcome, consistent with the market-implied probability near 46.5%. This reflects ongoing high-pressure dominance and regional moisture patterns that limit daytime cooling in the subtropical basin, where early September climatology typically ranges 32–35°C. Recent observational data show slightly above-average warmth persisting from late-summer conditions, supporting the secondary 38°C outcome at 24.5%. Model consensus remains moderate due to typical forecast uncertainty at this range, with key updates from official monitoring expected in the next 24–48 hours that could refine land-surface heating and advection effects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 7 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 7 de septiembre?
37°C 47%
38°C 26%
36°C 18%
34°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 sep 2026
32°C o menos
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
11%
35°C
9%
36°C
18%
37°C
47%
38°C
26%
39°C
10%
40°C
5%
41°C
3%
42°C o más
3%
37°C 47%
38°C 26%
36°C 18%
34°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 sep 2026
32°C o menos
$0 Vol.
4%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C
$0 Vol.
11%
35°C
$2 Vol.
9%
36°C
$6 Vol.
18%
37°C
$24 Vol.
47%
38°C
$58 Vol.
26%
39°C
$5 Vol.
10%
40°C
$120 Vol.
5%
41°C
$108 Vol.
3%
42°C o más
$17 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from meteorological agencies point to a maximum temperature of 37°C in Chongqing on September 7 as the most probable outcome, consistent with the market-implied probability near 46.5%. This reflects ongoing high-pressure dominance and regional moisture patterns that limit daytime cooling in the subtropical basin, where early September climatology typically ranges 32–35°C. Recent observational data show slightly above-average warmth persisting from late-summer conditions, supporting the secondary 38°C outcome at 24.5%. Model consensus remains moderate due to typical forecast uncertainty at this range, with key updates from official monitoring expected in the next 24–48 hours that could refine land-surface heating and advection effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$340Fecha de finalización
7 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from meteorological agencies point to a maximum temperature of 37°C in Chongqing on September 7 as the most probable outcome, consistent with the market-implied probability near 46.5%. This reflects ongoing high-pressure dominance and regional moisture patterns that limit daytime cooling in the subtropical basin, where early September climatology typically ranges 32–35°C. Recent observational data show slightly above-average warmth persisting from late-summer conditions, supporting the secondary 38°C outcome at 24.5%. Model consensus remains moderate due to typical forecast uncertainty at this range, with key updates from official monitoring expected in the next 24–48 hours that could refine land-surface heating and advection effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$340Fecha de finalización
7 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from meteorological agencies point to a maximum temperature of 37°C in Chongqing on September 7 as the most probable outcome, consistent with the market-implied probability near 46.5%. This reflects ongoing high-pressure dominance and regional moisture patterns that limit daytime cooling in the subtropical basin, where early September climatology typically ranges 32–35°C. Recent observational data show slightly above-average warmth persisting from late-summer conditions, supporting the secondary 38°C outcome at 24.5%. Model consensus remains moderate due to typical forecast uncertainty at this range, with key updates from official monitoring expected in the next 24–48 hours that could refine land-surface heating and advection effects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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