Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights a sharp cooldown for Denver on August 4 driven by a frontal passage that follows peak heat on preceding days. Model consensus points to north-northeasterly flow advecting cooler, drier air behind the boundary, with afternoon highs most likely settling in the upper 70s to low 80s under partly to mostly sunny skies and light winds. Afternoon convection remains possible but limited, reducing the chance of strong downslope warming. This setup aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 78–81 °F, reflecting traders’ assessment of ensemble spreads and typical post-frontal temperature drops of 15–25 °F observed in similar late-summer transitions. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Denver el 4 de agosto?
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 27%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 12%
71°F o menos
2%
72-73 °F
10%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
3%
90°F o más
2%
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 27%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 12%
71°F o menos
2%
72-73 °F
10%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
3%
90°F o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights a sharp cooldown for Denver on August 4 driven by a frontal passage that follows peak heat on preceding days. Model consensus points to north-northeasterly flow advecting cooler, drier air behind the boundary, with afternoon highs most likely settling in the upper 70s to low 80s under partly to mostly sunny skies and light winds. Afternoon convection remains possible but limited, reducing the chance of strong downslope warming. This setup aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 78–81 °F, reflecting traders’ assessment of ensemble spreads and typical post-frontal temperature drops of 15–25 °F observed in similar late-summer transitions. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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