Recent forecast models indicate a likely daily maximum near 29–31°C for Istanbul on August 24 under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean patterns. Trader consensus clustering around 27–29°C reflects model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with lighter winds potentially allowing slightly higher readings while stronger NE gusts enhance mixing and limit extremes. Current conditions on August 22 show highs near 29–30°C with minimal precipitation risk, aligning with seasonal baselines around 30°C. Official updates from regional agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the exact maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 24 de agosto?
28°C 41%
27°C 31%
29°C 21%
26°C 5%
23°C o menos
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
31%
28°C
41%
29°C
21%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C o más
3%
28°C 41%
27°C 31%
29°C 21%
26°C 5%
23°C o menos
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
31%
28°C
41%
29°C
21%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C o más
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate a likely daily maximum near 29–31°C for Istanbul on August 24 under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean patterns. Trader consensus clustering around 27–29°C reflects model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with lighter winds potentially allowing slightly higher readings while stronger NE gusts enhance mixing and limit extremes. Current conditions on August 22 show highs near 29–30°C with minimal precipitation risk, aligning with seasonal baselines around 30°C. Official updates from regional agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the exact maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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