Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 11°C or higher (98.8%) for Moscow's highest temperature today, driven by the Russian Hydrometeorological Center's confirmation of an anomalously warm early April, with air temperatures 7°C above climatological norms of 6–9°C for this date. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, alongside updates from TimeandDate (14°C high) and Ventusky (15°C), reflect a ridge of high pressure and zonal upper-air flow advecting mild Atlantic air, minimizing cold intrusions. Current observations show morning temps around 7°C under decreasing clouds, supporting peak afternoon heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent low clouds or a sudden frontal boundary delaying until evening, though steering patterns indicate low likelihood before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on April 3?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 3?
11°C or higher 98.8%
10°C 1.0%
9°C <1%
8°C <1%
$22,449 Vol.
$22,449 Vol.
3 abr 2026
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C or higher
99%
11°C or higher 98.8%
10°C 1.0%
9°C <1%
8°C <1%
$22,449 Vol.
$22,449 Vol.
3 abr 2026
8°C
$1,910 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,480 Vol.
1%
10°C
$1,378 Vol.
1%
11°C or higher
$1,664 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 11°C or higher (98.8%) for Moscow's highest temperature today, driven by the Russian Hydrometeorological Center's confirmation of an anomalously warm early April, with air temperatures 7°C above climatological norms of 6–9°C for this date. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, alongside updates from TimeandDate (14°C high) and Ventusky (15°C), reflect a ridge of high pressure and zonal upper-air flow advecting mild Atlantic air, minimizing cold intrusions. Current observations show morning temps around 7°C under decreasing clouds, supporting peak afternoon heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent low clouds or a sudden frontal boundary delaying until evening, though steering patterns indicate low likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Volumen
$22,449Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 11°C or higher (98.8%) for Moscow's highest temperature today, driven by the Russian Hydrometeorological Center's confirmation of an anomalously warm early April, with air temperatures 7°C above climatological norms of 6–9°C for this date. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, alongside updates from TimeandDate (14°C high) and Ventusky (15°C), reflect a ridge of high pressure and zonal upper-air flow advecting mild Atlantic air, minimizing cold intrusions. Current observations show morning temps around 7°C under decreasing clouds, supporting peak afternoon heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent low clouds or a sudden frontal boundary delaying until evening, though steering patterns indicate low likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,449Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 11°C or higher (98.8%) for Moscow's highest temperature today, driven by the Russian Hydrometeorological Center's confirmation of an anomalously warm early April, with air temperatures 7°C above climatological norms of 6–9°C for this date. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, alongside updates from TimeandDate (14°C high) and Ventusky (15°C), reflect a ridge of high pressure and zonal upper-air flow advecting mild Atlantic air, minimizing cold intrusions. Current observations show morning temps around 7°C under decreasing clouds, supporting peak afternoon heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent low clouds or a sudden frontal boundary delaying until evening, though steering patterns indicate low likelihood before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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