Recent Roshydromet forecasts, echoed by Yandex Weather models, project Moscow's highest temperature on April 5 at around 6°C, with light rain, northwest winds at 5 m/s, and persistent cloud cover ushering in a cooler air mass after highs of 14-15°C on April 3-4. This sharp cooldown drives trader consensus, pricing 7°C or below at 41.5% implied probability and 8°C at 20.5%, aligning with early April climatology where average highs hover near 7°C amid transitional spring patterns. Ensemble models like ECMWF show tight agreement but acknowledge uncertainty from potential clearing skies that could nudge peaks to 8-9°C. Watch daily updates from Russian meteorological services and NOAA observations at Vnukovo Airport for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 5 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 5 de abril?
7°C o menos 50%
8°C 23%
9°C 14%
10°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
7°C o menos
42%
8°C
22%
9°C
14%
10°C
13%
11°C
12%
12°C
11%
13°C
6%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C o más
<1%
7°C o menos 50%
8°C 23%
9°C 14%
10°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
7°C o menos
$105 Vol.
42%
8°C
$75 Vol.
22%
9°C
$11 Vol.
14%
10°C
$20 Vol.
13%
11°C
$87 Vol.
12%
12°C
$212 Vol.
11%
13°C
$97 Vol.
6%
14°C
$707 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$735 Vol.
1%
16°C
$570 Vol.
1%
17°C o más
$298 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Roshydromet forecasts, echoed by Yandex Weather models, project Moscow's highest temperature on April 5 at around 6°C, with light rain, northwest winds at 5 m/s, and persistent cloud cover ushering in a cooler air mass after highs of 14-15°C on April 3-4. This sharp cooldown drives trader consensus, pricing 7°C or below at 41.5% implied probability and 8°C at 20.5%, aligning with early April climatology where average highs hover near 7°C amid transitional spring patterns. Ensemble models like ECMWF show tight agreement but acknowledge uncertainty from potential clearing skies that could nudge peaks to 8-9°C. Watch daily updates from Russian meteorological services and NOAA observations at Vnukovo Airport for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volumen
$2,917Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Roshydromet forecasts, echoed by Yandex Weather models, project Moscow's highest temperature on April 5 at around 6°C, with light rain, northwest winds at 5 m/s, and persistent cloud cover ushering in a cooler air mass after highs of 14-15°C on April 3-4. This sharp cooldown drives trader consensus, pricing 7°C or below at 41.5% implied probability and 8°C at 20.5%, aligning with early April climatology where average highs hover near 7°C amid transitional spring patterns. Ensemble models like ECMWF show tight agreement but acknowledge uncertainty from potential clearing skies that could nudge peaks to 8-9°C. Watch daily updates from Russian meteorological services and NOAA observations at Vnukovo Airport for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,917Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Roshydromet forecasts, echoed by Yandex Weather models, project Moscow's highest temperature on April 5 at around 6°C, with light rain, northwest winds at 5 m/s, and persistent cloud cover ushering in a cooler air mass after highs of 14-15°C on April 3-4. This sharp cooldown drives trader consensus, pricing 7°C or below at 41.5% implied probability and 8°C at 20.5%, aligning with early April climatology where average highs hover near 7°C amid transitional spring patterns. Ensemble models like ECMWF show tight agreement but acknowledge uncertainty from potential clearing skies that could nudge peaks to 8-9°C. Watch daily updates from Russian meteorological services and NOAA observations at Vnukovo Airport for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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