Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground data, confirm a peak temperature of 19°C reached midday on May 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Strengthening northerly winds advected warmer air ahead of a deepening low-pressure system approaching the South Island, as noted in MetService updates, allowing this above-average high—versus May norms of 15-16°C—before strong gusts exceeding 70 km/h and light rain capped further warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization data revisions revealing a overlooked higher reading or measurement anomaly, though evening METAR reports show sustained cooling below 20°C with no new model runs anticipated.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 8 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 8 de mayo?
19°C 100.0%
12°C o menos <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$84,905 Vol.
$84,905 Vol.
8 may 2026
12°C o menos
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Sí
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C o más
No
19°C 100.0%
12°C o menos <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$84,905 Vol.
$84,905 Vol.
8 may 2026
12°C o menos
$931 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,471 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,582 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,506 Vol.
No
16°C
$5,845 Vol.
No
17°C
$10,528 Vol.
No
18°C
$18,600 Vol.
No
19°C
$13,935 Vol.
Sí
20°C
$13,251 Vol.
No
21°C
$10,955 Vol.
No
22°C o más
$6,302 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground data, confirm a peak temperature of 19°C reached midday on May 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Strengthening northerly winds advected warmer air ahead of a deepening low-pressure system approaching the South Island, as noted in MetService updates, allowing this above-average high—versus May norms of 15-16°C—before strong gusts exceeding 70 km/h and light rain capped further warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization data revisions revealing a overlooked higher reading or measurement anomaly, though evening METAR reports show sustained cooling below 20°C with no new model runs anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$84,905Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground data, confirm a peak temperature of 19°C reached midday on May 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Strengthening northerly winds advected warmer air ahead of a deepening low-pressure system approaching the South Island, as noted in MetService updates, allowing this above-average high—versus May norms of 15-16°C—before strong gusts exceeding 70 km/h and light rain capped further warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization data revisions revealing a overlooked higher reading or measurement anomaly, though evening METAR reports show sustained cooling below 20°C with no new model runs anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$84,905Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground data, confirm a peak temperature of 19°C reached midday on May 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Strengthening northerly winds advected warmer air ahead of a deepening low-pressure system approaching the South Island, as noted in MetService updates, allowing this above-average high—versus May norms of 15-16°C—before strong gusts exceeding 70 km/h and light rain capped further warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization data revisions revealing a overlooked higher reading or measurement anomaly, though evening METAR reports show sustained cooling below 20°C with no new model runs anticipated.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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