Persistent heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Zhengzhou on August 12 have suppressed solar heating and promoted evaporative cooling, anchoring the daily maximum near 25°C according to official forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate. This aligns with live observational data showing overcast conditions, flash flood risks, and temperatures in the mid-70s°F range, well below the typical August average high of 30–32°C. The market-implied 99.5% probability on 25°C reflects traders' confidence in these verified atmospheric conditions and measurement thresholds. A rapid clearance of clouds or earlier cessation of precipitation could allow additional warming and shift the recorded high, though current model consensus and real-time monitoring make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 12 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 12 de agosto?
25°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
NUEVO
$14,015 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,015 Vol.
12 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
NUEVO
$14,015 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,015 Vol.
12 ago 2026
22°C or below
$961 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,411 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,526 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,162 Vol.
100%
26°C
$1,649 Vol.
1%
27°C
$734 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$820 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,473 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$716 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$665 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$899 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Zhengzhou on August 12 have suppressed solar heating and promoted evaporative cooling, anchoring the daily maximum near 25°C according to official forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate. This aligns with live observational data showing overcast conditions, flash flood risks, and temperatures in the mid-70s°F range, well below the typical August average high of 30–32°C. The market-implied 99.5% probability on 25°C reflects traders' confidence in these verified atmospheric conditions and measurement thresholds. A rapid clearance of clouds or earlier cessation of precipitation could allow additional warming and shift the recorded high, though current model consensus and real-time monitoring make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$14,015Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Zhengzhou on August 12 have suppressed solar heating and promoted evaporative cooling, anchoring the daily maximum near 25°C according to official forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate. This aligns with live observational data showing overcast conditions, flash flood risks, and temperatures in the mid-70s°F range, well below the typical August average high of 30–32°C. The market-implied 99.5% probability on 25°C reflects traders' confidence in these verified atmospheric conditions and measurement thresholds. A rapid clearance of clouds or earlier cessation of precipitation could allow additional warming and shift the recorded high, though current model consensus and real-time monitoring make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,015Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Zhengzhou on August 12 have suppressed solar heating and promoted evaporative cooling, anchoring the daily maximum near 25°C according to official forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate. This aligns with live observational data showing overcast conditions, flash flood risks, and temperatures in the mid-70s°F range, well below the typical August average high of 30–32°C. The market-implied 99.5% probability on 25°C reflects traders' confidence in these verified atmospheric conditions and measurement thresholds. A rapid clearance of clouds or earlier cessation of precipitation could allow additional warming and shift the recorded high, though current model consensus and real-time monitoring make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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