Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models places Zhengzhou's maximum temperature on August 31 firmly in the mid-30s Celsius under clear skies and light northerly winds, consistent with late-summer high-pressure dominance over the North China Plain. Official outlooks indicate a daytime peak near 33–34 °C, well above the 32 °C threshold, with minimal humidity and no precipitation to moderate heating. This strong alignment across sources underpins the near-certain market pricing for 32 °C or higher. Only a major, unforecasted shift such as rapid cloud build-up or measurement anomaly at the Zhengzhou station could alter the outcome, both of which carry negligible probability given current stability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 31 de agosto?
32°C or higher 99.8%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 99.8%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models places Zhengzhou's maximum temperature on August 31 firmly in the mid-30s Celsius under clear skies and light northerly winds, consistent with late-summer high-pressure dominance over the North China Plain. Official outlooks indicate a daytime peak near 33–34 °C, well above the 32 °C threshold, with minimal humidity and no precipitation to moderate heating. This strong alignment across sources underpins the near-certain market pricing for 32 °C or higher. Only a major, unforecasted shift such as rapid cloud build-up or measurement anomaly at the Zhengzhou station could alter the outcome, both of which carry negligible probability given current stability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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