**Elevated 30-year Treasury yields near 5.25-5.27% reflect sustained pressure from large fiscal deficits exceeding $40 trillion in federal debt, heavy Treasury and corporate supply, and a rising term premium.** Hawkish Federal Reserve communications under Chair Kevin Warsh, including signals around potential September rate action amid inflation readings above the 2% target, have reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Recent data show the longest stretch of yields above 5% since 2006, with Treasury buybacks offering only temporary relief against competing issuance and investor demands for greater compensation on long-duration holdings. Key near-term catalysts include the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, September 11 inflation releases, and ongoing labor market reports that could shift rate expectations and long-end pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
30 sep 2026
Por debajo del 5,24%
50%
Por debajo de 5,21%
50%
Por debajo de 5,18%
50%
Por debajo de 5,15%
50%
Por debajo del 5,12%
49%
Por debajo de 5,09%
49%
Por debajo de 5,05%
49%
Por debajo del 5,00%
49%
Por debajo de 4.95%
50%
$0.00 Vol.
Por debajo del 5,24%
$0 Vol.
50%
Por debajo de 5,21%
$0 Vol.
50%
Por debajo de 5,18%
$0 Vol.
50%
Por debajo de 5,15%
$0 Vol.
50%
Por debajo del 5,12%
$0 Vol.
49%
Por debajo de 5,09%
$0 Vol.
49%
Por debajo de 5,05%
$0 Vol.
49%
Por debajo del 5,00%
$0 Vol.
49%
Por debajo de 4.95%
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).**Elevated 30-year Treasury yields near 5.25-5.27% reflect sustained pressure from large fiscal deficits exceeding $40 trillion in federal debt, heavy Treasury and corporate supply, and a rising term premium.** Hawkish Federal Reserve communications under Chair Kevin Warsh, including signals around potential September rate action amid inflation readings above the 2% target, have reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Recent data show the longest stretch of yields above 5% since 2006, with Treasury buybacks offering only temporary relief against competing issuance and investor demands for greater compensation on long-duration holdings. Key near-term catalysts include the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, September 11 inflation releases, and ongoing labor market reports that could shift rate expectations and long-end pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).**Elevated 30-year Treasury yields near 5.25-5.27% reflect sustained pressure from large fiscal deficits exceeding $40 trillion in federal debt, heavy Treasury and corporate supply, and a rising term premium.** Hawkish Federal Reserve communications under Chair Kevin Warsh, including signals around potential September rate action amid inflation readings above the 2% target, have reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Recent data show the longest stretch of yields above 5% since 2006, with Treasury buybacks offering only temporary relief against competing issuance and investor demands for greater compensation on long-duration holdings. Key near-term catalysts include the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, September 11 inflation releases, and ongoing labor market reports that could shift rate expectations and long-end pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Elevated 30-year Treasury yields near 5.25-5.27% reflect sustained pressure from large fiscal deficits exceeding $40 trillion in federal debt, heavy Treasury and corporate supply, and a rising term premium.** Hawkish Federal Reserve communications under Chair Kevin Warsh, including signals around potential September rate action amid inflation readings above the 2% target, have reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Recent data show the longest stretch of yields above 5% since 2006, with Treasury buybacks offering only temporary relief against competing issuance and investor demands for greater compensation on long-duration holdings. Key near-term catalysts include the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, September 11 inflation releases, and ongoing labor market reports that could shift rate expectations and long-end pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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