The 30-year Treasury yield, currently near 5.27 percent as of early September 2026, has climbed on expectations that the Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh will hike the federal funds rate at the September FOMC meeting to combat inflation pressures. Elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions, a robust U.S. economy fueled by AI and data-center investments, and persistent fiscal deficits have lifted real yields and term premiums, with the 10-year yield also reaching multi-year highs near 4.80 percent. Treasury buybacks provided only temporary relief amid heavy supply. Key near-term catalysts include the September 16 FOMC decision, upcoming CPI and payrolls data, and any shifts in inflation expectations that could alter the market-implied path for policy rates into 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
30 dic 2026
Por debajo de 5,20%
50%
Por debajo del 5,15%
50%
Por debajo del 5,10%
50%
Por debajo del 5,05%
50%
Por debajo de 5,00%
50%
Por debajo del 4,95%
50%
Por debajo del 4,90%
49%
Por debajo del 4,80%
49%
Por debajo del 4,60%
47%
$0.00 Vol.
Por debajo de 5,20%
$0 Vol.
50%
Por debajo del 5,15%
$0 Vol.
50%
Por debajo del 5,10%
$0 Vol.
50%
Por debajo del 5,05%
$0 Vol.
50%
Por debajo de 5,00%
$0 Vol.
50%
Por debajo del 4,95%
$0 Vol.
50%
Por debajo del 4,90%
$0 Vol.
49%
Por debajo del 4,80%
$0 Vol.
49%
Por debajo del 4,60%
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield, currently near 5.27 percent as of early September 2026, has climbed on expectations that the Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh will hike the federal funds rate at the September FOMC meeting to combat inflation pressures. Elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions, a robust U.S. economy fueled by AI and data-center investments, and persistent fiscal deficits have lifted real yields and term premiums, with the 10-year yield also reaching multi-year highs near 4.80 percent. Treasury buybacks provided only temporary relief amid heavy supply. Key near-term catalysts include the September 16 FOMC decision, upcoming CPI and payrolls data, and any shifts in inflation expectations that could alter the market-implied path for policy rates into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield, currently near 5.27 percent as of early September 2026, has climbed on expectations that the Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh will hike the federal funds rate at the September FOMC meeting to combat inflation pressures. Elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions, a robust U.S. economy fueled by AI and data-center investments, and persistent fiscal deficits have lifted real yields and term premiums, with the 10-year yield also reaching multi-year highs near 4.80 percent. Treasury buybacks provided only temporary relief amid heavy supply. Key near-term catalysts include the September 16 FOMC decision, upcoming CPI and payrolls data, and any shifts in inflation expectations that could alter the market-implied path for policy rates into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 30-year Treasury yield, currently near 5.27 percent as of early September 2026, has climbed on expectations that the Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh will hike the federal funds rate at the September FOMC meeting to combat inflation pressures. Elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions, a robust U.S. economy fueled by AI and data-center investments, and persistent fiscal deficits have lifted real yields and term premiums, with the 10-year yield also reaching multi-year highs near 4.80 percent. Treasury buybacks provided only temporary relief amid heavy supply. Key near-term catalysts include the September 16 FOMC decision, upcoming CPI and payrolls data, and any shifts in inflation expectations that could alter the market-implied path for policy rates into 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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