Trader consensus on September nonfarm payrolls reflects broad uncertainty in the labor market, with the 50k–100k jobs added range holding only a slim lead at 26% implied probability amid closely matched buckets. Recent August employment data and August CPI releases have shown moderating job growth alongside easing price pressures, prompting traders to price in a wide range of outcomes rather than a single consensus path. Federal Reserve communications on the policy rate trajectory and Treasury yield movements have reinforced this dispersion, as markets weigh the potential for further softening against resilient demand signals. The September FOMC meeting and subsequent high-frequency indicators like weekly jobless claims represent key upcoming catalysts that could shift positioning before the early October BLS release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos puestos de trabajo se han añadido en septiembre?
¿Cuántos puestos de trabajo se han añadido en septiembre?
50.000 a 100.000 26%
100k a 150k 22%
0 a 50 mil 20%
-50k a 0 13%
<-50k
9%
-50k a 0
13%
0 a 50 mil
20%
50.000 a 100.000
26%
100k a 150k
22%
150k a 200k
5%
200k+
5%
50.000 a 100.000 26%
100k a 150k 22%
0 a 50 mil 20%
-50k a 0 13%
<-50k
9%
-50k a 0
13%
0 a 50 mil
20%
50.000 a 100.000
26%
100k a 150k
22%
150k a 200k
5%
200k+
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Fuente de resolución
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on September nonfarm payrolls reflects broad uncertainty in the labor market, with the 50k–100k jobs added range holding only a slim lead at 26% implied probability amid closely matched buckets. Recent August employment data and August CPI releases have shown moderating job growth alongside easing price pressures, prompting traders to price in a wide range of outcomes rather than a single consensus path. Federal Reserve communications on the policy rate trajectory and Treasury yield movements have reinforced this dispersion, as markets weigh the potential for further softening against resilient demand signals. The September FOMC meeting and subsequent high-frequency indicators like weekly jobless claims represent key upcoming catalysts that could shift positioning before the early October BLS release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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