The August ISM Services PMI release at 55.4, exceeding consensus estimates near 54.2-54.3, has shaped near-term expectations for the September reading by highlighting resilient demand amid countervailing pressures. New orders and business activity indices accelerated notably, while supplier deliveries signaled ongoing strains and the employment sub-index remained in contraction for a second month. Elevated prices paid, reaching 72.6 amid tariffs and Middle East-related oil cost pressures, underscore persistent inflation risks that could influence Federal Reserve policy expectations. With the 12-month average now at 53.7 and recent readings clustered in the low-to-mid 50s, trader-implied probabilities favor a September outcome in the 54.0-55.9 range as the most likely extension of this moderate expansion trend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado54.0 a 54.9 38%
57.0 a 57.9 29%
55.0 a 55.9 25%
53.0 a 53.9 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
<51.0
2%
51.0 a 51.9
18%
52.0 a 52.9
11%
53.0 a 53.9
18%
54.0 a 54.9
38%
55.0 a 55.9
25%
56.0 a 56.9
14%
57.0 a 57.9
29%
58.0 a 58.9
19%
59.0+
12%
54.0 a 54.9 38%
57.0 a 57.9 29%
55.0 a 55.9 25%
53.0 a 53.9 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
<51.0
$23 Vol.
2%
51.0 a 51.9
$23 Vol.
18%
52.0 a 52.9
$23 Vol.
11%
53.0 a 53.9
$46 Vol.
18%
54.0 a 54.9
$23 Vol.
38%
55.0 a 55.9
$23 Vol.
25%
56.0 a 56.9
$46 Vol.
14%
57.0 a 57.9
$22 Vol.
29%
58.0 a 58.9
$23 Vol.
19%
59.0+
$23 Vol.
12%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August ISM Services PMI release at 55.4, exceeding consensus estimates near 54.2-54.3, has shaped near-term expectations for the September reading by highlighting resilient demand amid countervailing pressures. New orders and business activity indices accelerated notably, while supplier deliveries signaled ongoing strains and the employment sub-index remained in contraction for a second month. Elevated prices paid, reaching 72.6 amid tariffs and Middle East-related oil cost pressures, underscore persistent inflation risks that could influence Federal Reserve policy expectations. With the 12-month average now at 53.7 and recent readings clustered in the low-to-mid 50s, trader-implied probabilities favor a September outcome in the 54.0-55.9 range as the most likely extension of this moderate expansion trend.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volumen
$278Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August ISM Services PMI release at 55.4, exceeding consensus estimates near 54.2-54.3, has shaped near-term expectations for the September reading by highlighting resilient demand amid countervailing pressures. New orders and business activity indices accelerated notably, while supplier deliveries signaled ongoing strains and the employment sub-index remained in contraction for a second month. Elevated prices paid, reaching 72.6 amid tariffs and Middle East-related oil cost pressures, underscore persistent inflation risks that could influence Federal Reserve policy expectations. With the 12-month average now at 53.7 and recent readings clustered in the low-to-mid 50s, trader-implied probabilities favor a September outcome in the 54.0-55.9 range as the most likely extension of this moderate expansion trend.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$278Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The August ISM Services PMI release at 55.4, exceeding consensus estimates near 54.2-54.3, has shaped near-term expectations for the September reading by highlighting resilient demand amid countervailing pressures. New orders and business activity indices accelerated notably, while supplier deliveries signaled ongoing strains and the employment sub-index remained in contraction for a second month. Elevated prices paid, reaching 72.6 amid tariffs and Middle East-related oil cost pressures, underscore persistent inflation risks that could influence Federal Reserve policy expectations. With the 12-month average now at 53.7 and recent readings clustered in the low-to-mid 50s, trader-implied probabilities favor a September outcome in the 54.0-55.9 range as the most likely extension of this moderate expansion trend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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