Idaho's strongly Republican electorate and Jim Risch's incumbency advantage anchor trader expectations for a Republican Senate victory. Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote and received an early endorsement from President Trump. Recent polling shows him leading the Democratic nominee by wide margins in a state with a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by about 18 points. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising further constrain opposition prospects. A health event, major scandal, or unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Idaho
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Idaho
$28,675 Vol.
$28,675 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
96%
Demócrata
5%
$28,675 Vol.
$28,675 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$14,658 Vol.
96%
Demócrata
$14,016 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's strongly Republican electorate and Jim Risch's incumbency advantage anchor trader expectations for a Republican Senate victory. Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote and received an early endorsement from President Trump. Recent polling shows him leading the Democratic nominee by wide margins in a state with a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by about 18 points. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising further constrain opposition prospects. A health event, major scandal, or unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$28,675Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's strongly Republican electorate and Jim Risch's incumbency advantage anchor trader expectations for a Republican Senate victory. Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote and received an early endorsement from President Trump. Recent polling shows him leading the Democratic nominee by wide margins in a state with a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by about 18 points. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising further constrain opposition prospects. A health event, major scandal, or unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$28,675Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's strongly Republican electorate and Jim Risch's incumbency advantage anchor trader expectations for a Republican Senate victory. Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote and received an early endorsement from President Trump. Recent polling shows him leading the Democratic nominee by wide margins in a state with a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by about 18 points. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising further constrain opposition prospects. A health event, major scandal, or unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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