Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with strong backing from Governor JB Pritzker and the state party apparatus, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in a state where Democrats have held the Senate seat continuously since 1996 and Republicans have not won a general election contest since 2010. Don Tracy, the Republican nominee and former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a reliably Democratic electorate with limited recent polling data showing competitive general-election dynamics. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with this historical pattern and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the baseline. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include late-breaking scandals, significant health events affecting either candidate, or unusually low Democratic turnout in November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Illinois
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Illinois
$25,497 Vol.
$25,497 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
94%
Don Tracy (R)
6%
$25,497 Vol.
$25,497 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$12,850 Vol.
94%
Don Tracy (R)
$12,647 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with strong backing from Governor JB Pritzker and the state party apparatus, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in a state where Democrats have held the Senate seat continuously since 1996 and Republicans have not won a general election contest since 2010. Don Tracy, the Republican nominee and former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a reliably Democratic electorate with limited recent polling data showing competitive general-election dynamics. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with this historical pattern and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the baseline. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include late-breaking scandals, significant health events affecting either candidate, or unusually low Democratic turnout in November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$25,497Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with strong backing from Governor JB Pritzker and the state party apparatus, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in a state where Democrats have held the Senate seat continuously since 1996 and Republicans have not won a general election contest since 2010. Don Tracy, the Republican nominee and former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a reliably Democratic electorate with limited recent polling data showing competitive general-election dynamics. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with this historical pattern and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the baseline. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include late-breaking scandals, significant health events affecting either candidate, or unusually low Democratic turnout in November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$25,497Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with strong backing from Governor JB Pritzker and the state party apparatus, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in a state where Democrats have held the Senate seat continuously since 1996 and Republicans have not won a general election contest since 2010. Don Tracy, the Republican nominee and former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a reliably Democratic electorate with limited recent polling data showing competitive general-election dynamics. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with this historical pattern and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the baseline. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include late-breaking scandals, significant health events affecting either candidate, or unusually low Democratic turnout in November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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