Illinois's strong Democratic lean and open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin's retirement underpin trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton. She secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor J.B. Pritzker and superior fundraising, defeating several House members in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate race since 2010. Don Tracy, the Republican nominee and former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a reliably blue electorate. Potential shifts could stem from unusually low Democratic turnout, a major national Republican surge altering local dynamics, or late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate before the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Illinois
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Illinois
$25,262 Vol.
$25,262 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
96%
Don Tracy (R)
4%
$25,262 Vol.
$25,262 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$12,850 Vol.
96%
Don Tracy (R)
$12,412 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic lean and open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin's retirement underpin trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton. She secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor J.B. Pritzker and superior fundraising, defeating several House members in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate race since 2010. Don Tracy, the Republican nominee and former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a reliably blue electorate. Potential shifts could stem from unusually low Democratic turnout, a major national Republican surge altering local dynamics, or late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$25,262Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic lean and open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin's retirement underpin trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton. She secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor J.B. Pritzker and superior fundraising, defeating several House members in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate race since 2010. Don Tracy, the Republican nominee and former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a reliably blue electorate. Potential shifts could stem from unusually low Democratic turnout, a major national Republican surge altering local dynamics, or late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$25,262Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's strong Democratic lean and open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin's retirement underpin trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton. She secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor J.B. Pritzker and superior fundraising, defeating several House members in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate race since 2010. Don Tracy, the Republican nominee and former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a reliably blue electorate. Potential shifts could stem from unusually low Democratic turnout, a major national Republican surge altering local dynamics, or late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate before the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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