Illinois's status as a solidly Democratic state, with consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate contests, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton. Her March 2026 primary victory over established rivals, backed by Governor JB Pritzker and strong fundraising, positions the lieutenant governor as the clear successor to retiring incumbent Dick Durbin in a November general election against Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments that could shift the outlook remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or an unanticipated national political realignment before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Illinois
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Illinois
$27,139 Vol.
$27,139 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
94%
Don Tracy (R)
6%
$27,139 Vol.
$27,139 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$14,065 Vol.
94%
Don Tracy (R)
$13,074 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's status as a solidly Democratic state, with consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate contests, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton. Her March 2026 primary victory over established rivals, backed by Governor JB Pritzker and strong fundraising, positions the lieutenant governor as the clear successor to retiring incumbent Dick Durbin in a November general election against Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments that could shift the outlook remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or an unanticipated national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$27,139Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's status as a solidly Democratic state, with consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate contests, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton. Her March 2026 primary victory over established rivals, backed by Governor JB Pritzker and strong fundraising, positions the lieutenant governor as the clear successor to retiring incumbent Dick Durbin in a November general election against Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments that could shift the outlook remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or an unanticipated national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$27,139Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's status as a solidly Democratic state, with consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate contests, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton. Her March 2026 primary victory over established rivals, backed by Governor JB Pritzker and strong fundraising, positions the lieutenant governor as the clear successor to retiring incumbent Dick Durbin in a November general election against Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments that could shift the outlook remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or an unanticipated national political realignment before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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