Illinois voters will select a U.S. senator on November 3, 2026, in a race for the open seat vacated by retiring Democrat Dick Durbin. The Democratic nominee, Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton, secured her party's nomination in the March primary with support from Governor JB Pritzker and established party infrastructure, while Republican former state party chair Don Tracy emerged as his party's standard-bearer. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Illinois's long-term partisan alignment and the absence of a Republican statewide victory since 2010. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors along with the limited competitive positioning of the Republican candidate. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the frontrunner, or an unusually strong national Republican wave capable of overcoming the state's baseline Democratic advantage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Illinois
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Illinois
$24,944 Vol.
$24,944 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
96%
Republicano
4%
$24,944 Vol.
$24,944 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$12,804 Vol.
96%
Republicano
$12,139 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois voters will select a U.S. senator on November 3, 2026, in a race for the open seat vacated by retiring Democrat Dick Durbin. The Democratic nominee, Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton, secured her party's nomination in the March primary with support from Governor JB Pritzker and established party infrastructure, while Republican former state party chair Don Tracy emerged as his party's standard-bearer. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Illinois's long-term partisan alignment and the absence of a Republican statewide victory since 2010. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors along with the limited competitive positioning of the Republican candidate. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the frontrunner, or an unusually strong national Republican wave capable of overcoming the state's baseline Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$24,944Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois voters will select a U.S. senator on November 3, 2026, in a race for the open seat vacated by retiring Democrat Dick Durbin. The Democratic nominee, Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton, secured her party's nomination in the March primary with support from Governor JB Pritzker and established party infrastructure, while Republican former state party chair Don Tracy emerged as his party's standard-bearer. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Illinois's long-term partisan alignment and the absence of a Republican statewide victory since 2010. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors along with the limited competitive positioning of the Republican candidate. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the frontrunner, or an unusually strong national Republican wave capable of overcoming the state's baseline Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$24,944Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois voters will select a U.S. senator on November 3, 2026, in a race for the open seat vacated by retiring Democrat Dick Durbin. The Democratic nominee, Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton, secured her party's nomination in the March primary with support from Governor JB Pritzker and established party infrastructure, while Republican former state party chair Don Tracy emerged as his party's standard-bearer. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Illinois's long-term partisan alignment and the absence of a Republican statewide victory since 2010. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors along with the limited competitive positioning of the Republican candidate. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the frontrunner, or an unusually strong national Republican wave capable of overcoming the state's baseline Democratic advantage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes