Trader consensus on Polymarket prices César Dockweiler as the frontrunner at 56% implied probability for La Paz's mayoral election, reflecting consistent polling leads from firms like Ciesmori and Ipsos showing him at 40-50% support among urban voters favoring his Comunidad Ciudadana (CC) platform focused on security and infrastructure. Miguel Roca trails at 13% amid MAS party divisions between Arce and Morales factions, diluting his base, while Jhonny Plata's 10% holds from Frente Para la Victoria appeal to peripherals. Recent developments include Dockweiler's strong debate performances and CC endorsements, boosting his edge over Waldo Albarracín and others in fragmented fields. Markets anticipate stability ahead of the March 5, 2025, vote, with low odds for spoilers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones municipales de La Paz (Bolivia)
Ganador de las elecciones municipales de La Paz (Bolivia)
César Dockweiler 56.4%
Miguel Roca 12.4%
Jhonny Plata 9.7%
Waldo Albarracín 6.0%
$1,715,353 Vol.
$1,715,353 Vol.

César Dockweiler
56%

Miguel Roca
12%

Jhonny Plata
10%

Waldo Albarracín
6%

Iván Arias
4%

Xavier Iturralde
4%

Carlos Eduardo Palenque
2%

Rodrigo Rivera
2%

Paul Coca
1%

Alejandro Reyes
1%

Óscar Sogliano
<1%

Pierre Chain
<1%
César Dockweiler 56.4%
Miguel Roca 12.4%
Jhonny Plata 9.7%
Waldo Albarracín 6.0%
$1,715,353 Vol.
$1,715,353 Vol.

César Dockweiler
56%

Miguel Roca
12%

Jhonny Plata
10%

Waldo Albarracín
6%

Iván Arias
4%

Xavier Iturralde
4%

Carlos Eduardo Palenque
2%

Rodrigo Rivera
2%

Paul Coca
1%

Alejandro Reyes
1%

Óscar Sogliano
<1%

Pierre Chain
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices César Dockweiler as the frontrunner at 56% implied probability for La Paz's mayoral election, reflecting consistent polling leads from firms like Ciesmori and Ipsos showing him at 40-50% support among urban voters favoring his Comunidad Ciudadana (CC) platform focused on security and infrastructure. Miguel Roca trails at 13% amid MAS party divisions between Arce and Morales factions, diluting his base, while Jhonny Plata's 10% holds from Frente Para la Victoria appeal to peripherals. Recent developments include Dockweiler's strong debate performances and CC endorsements, boosting his edge over Waldo Albarracín and others in fragmented fields. Markets anticipate stability ahead of the March 5, 2025, vote, with low odds for spoilers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes