Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and European models indicate Amsterdam's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle between 12–14 °C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 5–8 m/s, and surface pressure near 1025–1030 hPa, which limits strong radiative cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12–14 °C, as small variations in cloud cover timing or wind speed can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical mid-September averages near 10–11 °C provide context, yet the current mild Atlantic flow has kept readings above normal, leaving traders focused on the final hours of data before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 20 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 20 de septiembre?
14°C 47%
13°C 47%
12°C 46%
16°C 46%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
10°C o menos
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
46%
13°C
47%
14°C
47%
15°C
46%
16°C
46%
17°C
45%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
14°C 47%
13°C 47%
12°C 46%
16°C 46%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
10°C o menos
$0 Vol.
1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$15 Vol.
46%
13°C
$0 Vol.
47%
14°C
$0 Vol.
47%
15°C
$6 Vol.
46%
16°C
$0 Vol.
46%
17°C
$0 Vol.
45%
18°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
20°C o más
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and European models indicate Amsterdam's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle between 12–14 °C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 5–8 m/s, and surface pressure near 1025–1030 hPa, which limits strong radiative cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12–14 °C, as small variations in cloud cover timing or wind speed can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical mid-September averages near 10–11 °C provide context, yet the current mild Atlantic flow has kept readings above normal, leaving traders focused on the final hours of data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$144Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and European models indicate Amsterdam's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle between 12–14 °C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 5–8 m/s, and surface pressure near 1025–1030 hPa, which limits strong radiative cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12–14 °C, as small variations in cloud cover timing or wind speed can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical mid-September averages near 10–11 °C provide context, yet the current mild Atlantic flow has kept readings above normal, leaving traders focused on the final hours of data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$144Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and European models indicate Amsterdam's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle between 12–14 °C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 5–8 m/s, and surface pressure near 1025–1030 hPa, which limits strong radiative cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12–14 °C, as small variations in cloud cover timing or wind speed can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical mid-September averages near 10–11 °C provide context, yet the current mild Atlantic flow has kept readings above normal, leaving traders focused on the final hours of data before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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