Forecast models from KNMI and European ensembles indicate a minimum near 11°C in Amsterdam on September 22, supported by light westerly winds, high pressure near 1030 hPa, and increasing overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent September observations have run 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 average low of 10.4°C, with minimal precipitation expected. Trader consensus clusters on 10–12°C because small variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed under 3 m/s, or partial clearing could shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning surface observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 22 de septiembre?
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 38%
10°C 26%
7°C o menos
3%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
38%
15°C
17%
16°C
11%
17°C o más
6%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 38%
10°C 26%
7°C o menos
3%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
38%
15°C
17%
16°C
11%
17°C o más
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from KNMI and European ensembles indicate a minimum near 11°C in Amsterdam on September 22, supported by light westerly winds, high pressure near 1030 hPa, and increasing overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent September observations have run 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 average low of 10.4°C, with minimal precipitation expected. Trader consensus clusters on 10–12°C because small variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed under 3 m/s, or partial clearing could shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning surface observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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