PAGASA’s extended outlook for Metro Manila on September 22, 2026, shows a minimum of 25 °C and maximum of 33 °C with an 80 % chance of rain, consistent with other models projecting overnight lows near 25–27 °C under southwest monsoon influence and widespread cloud cover. High humidity and frequent thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from falling far below the seasonal average of roughly 25 °C while also preventing extremes above 30 °C. The closely matched market-implied odds on 21 °C or below versus 31 °C or higher reflect uncertainty in exact overnight minimums driven by variable thunderstorm timing and cloud thickness, with resolution likely hinging on official PAGASA observations or station data rather than model consensus alone.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 22 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 22 de septiembre?
21°C o menos 96%
31°C o más 96%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 sep 2026
21°C o menos
96%
22°C
13%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
32%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C
14%
31°C o más
96%
21°C o menos 96%
31°C o más 96%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 sep 2026
21°C o menos
$0 Vol.
96%
22°C
$0 Vol.
13%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$3 Vol.
40%
26°C
$0 Vol.
40%
27°C
$114 Vol.
32%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C o más
$0 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA’s extended outlook for Metro Manila on September 22, 2026, shows a minimum of 25 °C and maximum of 33 °C with an 80 % chance of rain, consistent with other models projecting overnight lows near 25–27 °C under southwest monsoon influence and widespread cloud cover. High humidity and frequent thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from falling far below the seasonal average of roughly 25 °C while also preventing extremes above 30 °C. The closely matched market-implied odds on 21 °C or below versus 31 °C or higher reflect uncertainty in exact overnight minimums driven by variable thunderstorm timing and cloud thickness, with resolution likely hinging on official PAGASA observations or station data rather than model consensus alone.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$114Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA’s extended outlook for Metro Manila on September 22, 2026, shows a minimum of 25 °C and maximum of 33 °C with an 80 % chance of rain, consistent with other models projecting overnight lows near 25–27 °C under southwest monsoon influence and widespread cloud cover. High humidity and frequent thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from falling far below the seasonal average of roughly 25 °C while also preventing extremes above 30 °C. The closely matched market-implied odds on 21 °C or below versus 31 °C or higher reflect uncertainty in exact overnight minimums driven by variable thunderstorm timing and cloud thickness, with resolution likely hinging on official PAGASA observations or station data rather than model consensus alone.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$114Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA’s extended outlook for Metro Manila on September 22, 2026, shows a minimum of 25 °C and maximum of 33 °C with an 80 % chance of rain, consistent with other models projecting overnight lows near 25–27 °C under southwest monsoon influence and widespread cloud cover. High humidity and frequent thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from falling far below the seasonal average of roughly 25 °C while also preventing extremes above 30 °C. The closely matched market-implied odds on 21 °C or below versus 31 °C or higher reflect uncertainty in exact overnight minimums driven by variable thunderstorm timing and cloud thickness, with resolution likely hinging on official PAGASA observations or station data rather than model consensus alone.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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