**Forecast uncertainty for Ankara's overnight low on September 16 centers on model spread in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer conditions.** Current guidance from sources like PredictWind and Yr.no points to a minimum near 12–16°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, close to the historical mid-September average of roughly 13–14°C. Cooler outcomes (11°C or below) would require clearer skies, calmer winds, and enhanced longwave heat loss, while warmer readings (near or above 21°C) would need stronger mixing or a warmer air mass—both less likely but possible if models shift. The near-even split between the 11°C-or-below and 21°C-or-higher buckets reflects this genuine short-range forecast variability ahead of updated runs from global models.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ankara el 16 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ankara el 16 de septiembre?
11°C o menos 96%
21°C o más 93%
12°C 40%
14°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
11°C o menos
96%
12°C
40%
13°C
25%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
38%
21°C o más
93%
11°C o menos 96%
21°C o más 93%
12°C 40%
14°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
11°C o menos
$0 Vol.
96%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
25%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
39%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C
$0 Vol.
38%
21°C o más
$0 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty for Ankara's overnight low on September 16 centers on model spread in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer conditions.** Current guidance from sources like PredictWind and Yr.no points to a minimum near 12–16°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, close to the historical mid-September average of roughly 13–14°C. Cooler outcomes (11°C or below) would require clearer skies, calmer winds, and enhanced longwave heat loss, while warmer readings (near or above 21°C) would need stronger mixing or a warmer air mass—both less likely but possible if models shift. The near-even split between the 11°C-or-below and 21°C-or-higher buckets reflects this genuine short-range forecast variability ahead of updated runs from global models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty for Ankara's overnight low on September 16 centers on model spread in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer conditions.** Current guidance from sources like PredictWind and Yr.no points to a minimum near 12–16°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, close to the historical mid-September average of roughly 13–14°C. Cooler outcomes (11°C or below) would require clearer skies, calmer winds, and enhanced longwave heat loss, while warmer readings (near or above 21°C) would need stronger mixing or a warmer air mass—both less likely but possible if models shift. The near-even split between the 11°C-or-below and 21°C-or-higher buckets reflects this genuine short-range forecast variability ahead of updated runs from global models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty for Ankara's overnight low on September 16 centers on model spread in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer conditions.** Current guidance from sources like PredictWind and Yr.no points to a minimum near 12–16°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, close to the historical mid-September average of roughly 13–14°C. Cooler outcomes (11°C or below) would require clearer skies, calmer winds, and enhanced longwave heat loss, while warmer readings (near or above 21°C) would need stronger mixing or a warmer air mass—both less likely but possible if models shift. The near-even split between the 11°C-or-below and 21°C-or-higher buckets reflects this genuine short-range forecast variability ahead of updated runs from global models.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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