Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Beijing's September 20 minimum temperature will likely fall between 16°C and 21°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly or easterly winds, with trader odds clustered near 16°C or below, 19°C, and warmer thresholds reflecting model spread in overnight radiative cooling. Clear conditions and moderate humidity favor efficient heat loss after sunset, though subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing across ensemble runs create the observed balance between sub-17°C and mid-20s outcomes. Official updates from CMA and revised GFS runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Pekín el 20 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Pekín el 20 de septiembre?
26°C o más 88%
16°C o menos 72%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
16°C o menos
72%
17°C
17%
18°C
21%
19°C
33%
20°C
22%
21°C
16%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
17%
25°C
5%
26°C o más
88%
26°C o más 88%
16°C o menos 72%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
16°C o menos
$0 Vol.
72%
17°C
$0 Vol.
17%
18°C
$0 Vol.
21%
19°C
$0 Vol.
33%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$143 Vol.
16%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
17%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C o más
$0 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Beijing's September 20 minimum temperature will likely fall between 16°C and 21°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly or easterly winds, with trader odds clustered near 16°C or below, 19°C, and warmer thresholds reflecting model spread in overnight radiative cooling. Clear conditions and moderate humidity favor efficient heat loss after sunset, though subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing across ensemble runs create the observed balance between sub-17°C and mid-20s outcomes. Official updates from CMA and revised GFS runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$143Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Beijing's September 20 minimum temperature will likely fall between 16°C and 21°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly or easterly winds, with trader odds clustered near 16°C or below, 19°C, and warmer thresholds reflecting model spread in overnight radiative cooling. Clear conditions and moderate humidity favor efficient heat loss after sunset, though subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing across ensemble runs create the observed balance between sub-17°C and mid-20s outcomes. Official updates from CMA and revised GFS runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$143Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Beijing's September 20 minimum temperature will likely fall between 16°C and 21°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly or easterly winds, with trader odds clustered near 16°C or below, 19°C, and warmer thresholds reflecting model spread in overnight radiative cooling. Clear conditions and moderate humidity favor efficient heat loss after sunset, though subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing across ensemble runs create the observed balance between sub-17°C and mid-20s outcomes. Official updates from CMA and revised GFS runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes