Recent forecast updates from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicate overnight lows near 12–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11 °C reflects lingering uncertainty in radiative cooling efficiency. Clearer intervals could enhance surface heat loss and push minima toward 9–10 °C, while increased low-level moisture or showers would limit cooling and favor 11 °C or higher. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 9–13 °C, so traders are weighing short-term model spreads against observed boundary-layer conditions and Baltic Sea temperature advection as the day’s minimum is finalized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Helsinki el 21 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Helsinki el 21 de agosto?
10°C 48%
8°C 24%
9°C 22%
15°C or higher <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
24%
9°C
22%
10°C
25%
11°C
45%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
1%
10°C 48%
8°C 24%
9°C 22%
15°C or higher <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
5°C or below
$35 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$39 Vol.
1%
7°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$7 Vol.
24%
9°C
$69 Vol.
22%
10°C
$14 Vol.
25%
11°C
$16 Vol.
45%
12°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$214 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicate overnight lows near 12–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11 °C reflects lingering uncertainty in radiative cooling efficiency. Clearer intervals could enhance surface heat loss and push minima toward 9–10 °C, while increased low-level moisture or showers would limit cooling and favor 11 °C or higher. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 9–13 °C, so traders are weighing short-term model spreads against observed boundary-layer conditions and Baltic Sea temperature advection as the day’s minimum is finalized.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volumen
$1,161Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicate overnight lows near 12–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11 °C reflects lingering uncertainty in radiative cooling efficiency. Clearer intervals could enhance surface heat loss and push minima toward 9–10 °C, while increased low-level moisture or showers would limit cooling and favor 11 °C or higher. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 9–13 °C, so traders are weighing short-term model spreads against observed boundary-layer conditions and Baltic Sea temperature advection as the day’s minimum is finalized.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,161Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicate overnight lows near 12–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11 °C reflects lingering uncertainty in radiative cooling efficiency. Clearer intervals could enhance surface heat loss and push minima toward 9–10 °C, while increased low-level moisture or showers would limit cooling and favor 11 °C or higher. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 9–13 °C, so traders are weighing short-term model spreads against observed boundary-layer conditions and Baltic Sea temperature advection as the day’s minimum is finalized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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