Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a daily minimum near 12–13°C for Helsinki on August 22, driven by overnight cloud cover, light southerly winds, and limited radiative cooling under mild high pressure. This consensus supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 11°C and 15°C, while the elevated probability on 8°C or below reflects residual model spread and potential for clearer skies to enhance cooling. Historical August lows average 10–12°C, so current conditions align with typical late-summer patterns but remain sensitive to 24-hour forecast revisions on wind and precipitation. Traders monitor updated model runs and FMI briefings ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Helsinki el 22 de agosto?
13°C 49%
8°C o menos 38%
14°C 27%
12°C 27%
8°C o menos
38%
9°C
24%
10°C
25%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
5%
17°C
2%
18°C o más
1%
13°C 49%
8°C o menos 38%
14°C 27%
12°C 27%
8°C o menos
38%
9°C
24%
10°C
25%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
5%
17°C
2%
18°C o más
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a daily minimum near 12–13°C for Helsinki on August 22, driven by overnight cloud cover, light southerly winds, and limited radiative cooling under mild high pressure. This consensus supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 11°C and 15°C, while the elevated probability on 8°C or below reflects residual model spread and potential for clearer skies to enhance cooling. Historical August lows average 10–12°C, so current conditions align with typical late-summer patterns but remain sensitive to 24-hour forecast revisions on wind and precipitation. Traders monitor updated model runs and FMI briefings ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes