Short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional guidance show showers and persistent high humidity on August 18 limiting nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near 26–28°C amid weak steering winds. This aligns with August climatology of average minima around 26–28°C and the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and ENSO influences. Trader sentiment clusters on 26°C and 27°C outcomes because variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and urban heat-island effects create narrow uncertainty ranges, while stronger monsoon flow or clearer skies could tip readings lower or sustain them near 28°C. New model runs and official briefings will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 18 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 18 de agosto?
27°C 36%
26°C 30%
28°C 17%
25°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
11%
26°C
30%
27°C
36%
28°C
17%
29°C
4%
30 °C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o más
<1%
27°C 36%
26°C 30%
28°C 17%
25°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
23°C o menos
$31 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$218 Vol.
3%
25°C
$294 Vol.
11%
26°C
$199 Vol.
30%
27°C
$618 Vol.
36%
28°C
$299 Vol.
17%
29°C
$91 Vol.
4%
30 °C
$42 Vol.
2%
31°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
33°C o más
$648 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional guidance show showers and persistent high humidity on August 18 limiting nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near 26–28°C amid weak steering winds. This aligns with August climatology of average minima around 26–28°C and the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and ENSO influences. Trader sentiment clusters on 26°C and 27°C outcomes because variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and urban heat-island effects create narrow uncertainty ranges, while stronger monsoon flow or clearer skies could tip readings lower or sustain them near 28°C. New model runs and official briefings will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$2,534Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional guidance show showers and persistent high humidity on August 18 limiting nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near 26–28°C amid weak steering winds. This aligns with August climatology of average minima around 26–28°C and the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and ENSO influences. Trader sentiment clusters on 26°C and 27°C outcomes because variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and urban heat-island effects create narrow uncertainty ranges, while stronger monsoon flow or clearer skies could tip readings lower or sustain them near 28°C. New model runs and official briefings will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,534Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional guidance show showers and persistent high humidity on August 18 limiting nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near 26–28°C amid weak steering winds. This aligns with August climatology of average minima around 26–28°C and the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and ENSO influences. Trader sentiment clusters on 26°C and 27°C outcomes because variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and urban heat-island effects create narrow uncertainty ranges, while stronger monsoon flow or clearer skies could tip readings lower or sustain them near 28°C. New model runs and official briefings will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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