Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 9°C in London on May 9, driven by verified Met Office observations from Heathrow Airport—the authoritative reference station—which recorded a screen minimum of 9°C around 04:00 amid light winds and partial cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event UKV and GFS model runs forecasting minima in the 8–10°C range under a stable high-pressure ridge, consistent with early May climatology where London overnight lows typically cluster between 7–12°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-quality control, though a rare data audit revealing a lower reading at St James's Park or another official site could prompt revision; final resolution awaits Met Office daily summary confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 9 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 9 de mayo?
9°C 100.0%
4°C o menos <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$55,056 Vol.
$55,056 Vol.
9 may 2026
4°C o menos
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Sí
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C o más
No
9°C 100.0%
4°C o menos <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$55,056 Vol.
$55,056 Vol.
9 may 2026
4°C o menos
$9,880 Vol.
No
5°C
$5,016 Vol.
No
6°C
$1,991 Vol.
No
7°C
$1,442 Vol.
No
8°C
$2,854 Vol.
No
9°C
$19,756 Vol.
Sí
10°C
$6,125 Vol.
No
11°C
$2,980 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,216 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,859 Vol.
No
14°C o más
$1,936 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 9°C in London on May 9, driven by verified Met Office observations from Heathrow Airport—the authoritative reference station—which recorded a screen minimum of 9°C around 04:00 amid light winds and partial cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event UKV and GFS model runs forecasting minima in the 8–10°C range under a stable high-pressure ridge, consistent with early May climatology where London overnight lows typically cluster between 7–12°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-quality control, though a rare data audit revealing a lower reading at St James's Park or another official site could prompt revision; final resolution awaits Met Office daily summary confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$55,056Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 9°C in London on May 9, driven by verified Met Office observations from Heathrow Airport—the authoritative reference station—which recorded a screen minimum of 9°C around 04:00 amid light winds and partial cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event UKV and GFS model runs forecasting minima in the 8–10°C range under a stable high-pressure ridge, consistent with early May climatology where London overnight lows typically cluster between 7–12°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-quality control, though a rare data audit revealing a lower reading at St James's Park or another official site could prompt revision; final resolution awaits Met Office daily summary confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$55,056Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 9°C in London on May 9, driven by verified Met Office observations from Heathrow Airport—the authoritative reference station—which recorded a screen minimum of 9°C around 04:00 amid light winds and partial cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event UKV and GFS model runs forecasting minima in the 8–10°C range under a stable high-pressure ridge, consistent with early May climatology where London overnight lows typically cluster between 7–12°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-quality control, though a rare data audit revealing a lower reading at St James's Park or another official site could prompt revision; final resolution awaits Met Office daily summary confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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