Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to overnight minimum temperatures in London on September 23 likely falling between 10–16 °C, with the spread in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over cloud cover and wind speed during the critical pre-dawn hours. Clear or partly cloudy skies under a building high-pressure ridge would enhance radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increasing low-level moisture or light southerly flow could limit the drop. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 11–12 °C, but the current warm anomaly and light winds add variability. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and Met Office updates for refinements in boundary-layer conditions ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Londres el 23 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Londres el 23 de septiembre?
14°C 40%
16°C 38%
13°C 37%
10°C 36%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 sep 2026
9°C o menos
3%
10°C
36%
11°C
36%
12°C
36%
13°C
37%
14°C
40%
15°C
26%
16°C
38%
17°C
5%
18°C
36%
19°C o más
2%
14°C 40%
16°C 38%
13°C 37%
10°C 36%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 sep 2026
9°C o menos
$0 Vol.
3%
10°C
$0 Vol.
36%
11°C
$0 Vol.
36%
12°C
$0 Vol.
36%
13°C
$0 Vol.
37%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
38%
17°C
$0 Vol.
5%
18°C
$0 Vol.
36%
19°C o más
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to overnight minimum temperatures in London on September 23 likely falling between 10–16 °C, with the spread in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over cloud cover and wind speed during the critical pre-dawn hours. Clear or partly cloudy skies under a building high-pressure ridge would enhance radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increasing low-level moisture or light southerly flow could limit the drop. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 11–12 °C, but the current warm anomaly and light winds add variability. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and Met Office updates for refinements in boundary-layer conditions ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
23 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to overnight minimum temperatures in London on September 23 likely falling between 10–16 °C, with the spread in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over cloud cover and wind speed during the critical pre-dawn hours. Clear or partly cloudy skies under a building high-pressure ridge would enhance radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increasing low-level moisture or light southerly flow could limit the drop. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 11–12 °C, but the current warm anomaly and light winds add variability. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and Met Office updates for refinements in boundary-layer conditions ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
23 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to overnight minimum temperatures in London on September 23 likely falling between 10–16 °C, with the spread in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over cloud cover and wind speed during the critical pre-dawn hours. Clear or partly cloudy skies under a building high-pressure ridge would enhance radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increasing low-level moisture or light southerly flow could limit the drop. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 11–12 °C, but the current warm anomaly and light winds add variability. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and Met Office updates for refinements in boundary-layer conditions ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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