Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light winds over Madrid on the night of August 28–29, promoting strong radiative cooling under high pressure and low humidity that favors minimum temperatures near 13–16 °C. This aligns with the market-implied focus on outcomes at or below 13 °C, as recent observations show a cooling trend with the August 27 low reaching 16.3 °C after warmer mid-month conditions. Dry air and minimal cloud cover enhance nocturnal heat loss, while climatological averages near 18 °C and historical extremes below 10 °C underscore the uncertainty in model guidance for the precise overnight minimum. Updated runs from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 29 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 29 de agosto?
11°C or below 46%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
11°C or below
46%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
8%
17°C
15%
18°C
11%
19°C
13%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
2%
11°C or below 46%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
11°C or below
$6 Vol.
46%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
8%
17°C
$10 Vol.
15%
18°C
$5 Vol.
11%
19°C
$5 Vol.
13%
20°C
$5 Vol.
8%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light winds over Madrid on the night of August 28–29, promoting strong radiative cooling under high pressure and low humidity that favors minimum temperatures near 13–16 °C. This aligns with the market-implied focus on outcomes at or below 13 °C, as recent observations show a cooling trend with the August 27 low reaching 16.3 °C after warmer mid-month conditions. Dry air and minimal cloud cover enhance nocturnal heat loss, while climatological averages near 18 °C and historical extremes below 10 °C underscore the uncertainty in model guidance for the precise overnight minimum. Updated runs from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$36Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light winds over Madrid on the night of August 28–29, promoting strong radiative cooling under high pressure and low humidity that favors minimum temperatures near 13–16 °C. This aligns with the market-implied focus on outcomes at or below 13 °C, as recent observations show a cooling trend with the August 27 low reaching 16.3 °C after warmer mid-month conditions. Dry air and minimal cloud cover enhance nocturnal heat loss, while climatological averages near 18 °C and historical extremes below 10 °C underscore the uncertainty in model guidance for the precise overnight minimum. Updated runs from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$36Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light winds over Madrid on the night of August 28–29, promoting strong radiative cooling under high pressure and low humidity that favors minimum temperatures near 13–16 °C. This aligns with the market-implied focus on outcomes at or below 13 °C, as recent observations show a cooling trend with the August 27 low reaching 16.3 °C after warmer mid-month conditions. Dry air and minimal cloud cover enhance nocturnal heat loss, while climatological averages near 18 °C and historical extremes below 10 °C underscore the uncertainty in model guidance for the precise overnight minimum. Updated runs from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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