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icon for ¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 23 de agosto?

¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 23 de agosto?

icon for ¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 23 de agosto?

¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 23 de agosto?

20°C or higher 88%

15°C 46%

16°C 45%

13°C 45%

Polymarket
NUEVO

20°C or higher 88%

15°C 46%

16°C 45%

13°C 45%

Polymarket
NUEVO

10°C or below

$5 Vol.

42%

11°C

$0 Vol.

27%

12°C

$0 Vol.

45%

13°C

$0 Vol.

45%

14°C

$0 Vol.

27%

15°C

$15 Vol.

46%

16°C

$0 Vol.

45%

17°C

$0 Vol.

27%

18°C

$15 Vol.

45%

19°C

$15 Vol.

27%

20°C or higher

$27 Vol.

88%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the Met Office and Yandex Weather point to a minimum temperature in Moscow on August 23 around 14–16°C amid variable clouds, light westerly winds, and possible brief showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. This follows a cooling trend after mid-August warmth, with Atlantic air masses and increasing cloud cover raising nighttime values above the long-term average low of 11.9°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 15–16°C outcomes because ensemble spreads show sensitivity to exact cloud timing and wind patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes like 13°C or 18°C reflecting model consensus on moderate conditions ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$77
Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the Met Office and Yandex Weather point to a minimum temperature in Moscow on August 23 around 14–16°C amid variable clouds, light westerly winds, and possible brief showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. This follows a cooling trend after mid-August warmth, with Atlantic air masses and increasing cloud cover raising nighttime values above the long-term average low of 11.9°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 15–16°C outcomes because ensemble spreads show sensitivity to exact cloud timing and wind patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes like 13°C or 18°C reflecting model consensus on moderate conditions ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$77
Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 23 de agosto?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "15°C" con 46%, seguido de "16°C" con 46%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 46¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 23 de agosto?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 21, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 23 de agosto?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 23 de agosto?" es "15°C" con 46%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "16°C" con 46%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 23 de agosto?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.