Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and independent synoptics project Moscow's August 30 overnight low near 9–12°C under southerly flow and variable cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling while preventing extreme warmth or frost. This consensus around typical late-August values near the seasonal norm of roughly 10–14°C creates tight market balance between the 15°C+ and 5°C-or-below outcomes, as modest shifts in cloud timing or wind strength could push readings either higher or lower. Model runs show limited disagreement on this short-range horizon, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 30 de agosto?
15°C or higher 96%
5°C or below 94%
8°C 50%
9°C 50%
5°C or below
94%
6°C
49%
7°C
49%
8°C
50%
9°C
50%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C or higher
96%
15°C or higher 96%
5°C or below 94%
8°C 50%
9°C 50%
5°C or below
94%
6°C
49%
7°C
49%
8°C
50%
9°C
50%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and independent synoptics project Moscow's August 30 overnight low near 9–12°C under southerly flow and variable cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling while preventing extreme warmth or frost. This consensus around typical late-August values near the seasonal norm of roughly 10–14°C creates tight market balance between the 15°C+ and 5°C-or-below outcomes, as modest shifts in cloud timing or wind strength could push readings either higher or lower. Model runs show limited disagreement on this short-range horizon, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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