Recent forecasts for Moscow on August 29 point to a nighttime low near 12–13°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.2°C. This keeps the market tightly balanced between 3°C or below (48.5%) and 13°C or higher (44.5%), as traders weigh the potential for enhanced radiative cooling under clearer skies against any increase in cloud cover or advection that could hold temperatures higher. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and modest wind speeds that limit mixing, while historical analogs indicate occasional drops below 5°C remain possible but uncommon this late in summer. Updated runs from national meteorological services will be key near resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 29 de agosto?
3°C or below 87%
13°C or higher 45%
8°C 38%
7°C 37%
3°C or below
87%
4°C
1%
5°C
23%
6°C
25%
7°C
37%
8°C
38%
9°C
36%
10°C
37%
11°C
37%
12°C
37%
13°C or higher
45%
3°C or below 87%
13°C or higher 45%
8°C 38%
7°C 37%
3°C or below
87%
4°C
1%
5°C
23%
6°C
25%
7°C
37%
8°C
38%
9°C
36%
10°C
37%
11°C
37%
12°C
37%
13°C or higher
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow on August 29 point to a nighttime low near 12–13°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.2°C. This keeps the market tightly balanced between 3°C or below (48.5%) and 13°C or higher (44.5%), as traders weigh the potential for enhanced radiative cooling under clearer skies against any increase in cloud cover or advection that could hold temperatures higher. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and modest wind speeds that limit mixing, while historical analogs indicate occasional drops below 5°C remain possible but uncommon this late in summer. Updated runs from national meteorological services will be key near resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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