Recent forecasts from European models indicate a cooling trend for Paris by August 23, with overnight lows expected in the 11–14°C range amid a shift to north-easterly flow and partly cloudy conditions that support radiative cooling. Meteo-France guidance and ensemble spreads show the daily minimum hinging on cloud cover overnight and any light showers, which could limit how far temperatures drop below the seasonal average of 14–15°C. With leading market probabilities clustered tightly around 11–13°C, traders are weighting near-term model consensus on boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds while noting that small forecast adjustments in the final 48 hours could shift resolution between these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 23 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 23 de agosto?
12°C 28%
13°C 20%
11°C 19%
10°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
8°C o menos
3%
9°C
6%
10°C
10%
11°C
19%
12°C
28%
13°C
20%
14°C
10%
15°C
7%
16°C
7%
17°C
5%
18°C o más
1%
12°C 28%
13°C 20%
11°C 19%
10°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
8°C o menos
$5 Vol.
3%
9°C
$0 Vol.
6%
10°C
$0 Vol.
10%
11°C
$0 Vol.
19%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
20%
14°C
$0 Vol.
10%
15°C
$0 Vol.
7%
16°C
$5 Vol.
7%
17°C
$5 Vol.
5%
18°C o más
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate a cooling trend for Paris by August 23, with overnight lows expected in the 11–14°C range amid a shift to north-easterly flow and partly cloudy conditions that support radiative cooling. Meteo-France guidance and ensemble spreads show the daily minimum hinging on cloud cover overnight and any light showers, which could limit how far temperatures drop below the seasonal average of 14–15°C. With leading market probabilities clustered tightly around 11–13°C, traders are weighting near-term model consensus on boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds while noting that small forecast adjustments in the final 48 hours could shift resolution between these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate a cooling trend for Paris by August 23, with overnight lows expected in the 11–14°C range amid a shift to north-easterly flow and partly cloudy conditions that support radiative cooling. Meteo-France guidance and ensemble spreads show the daily minimum hinging on cloud cover overnight and any light showers, which could limit how far temperatures drop below the seasonal average of 14–15°C. With leading market probabilities clustered tightly around 11–13°C, traders are weighting near-term model consensus on boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds while noting that small forecast adjustments in the final 48 hours could shift resolution between these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European models indicate a cooling trend for Paris by August 23, with overnight lows expected in the 11–14°C range amid a shift to north-easterly flow and partly cloudy conditions that support radiative cooling. Meteo-France guidance and ensemble spreads show the daily minimum hinging on cloud cover overnight and any light showers, which could limit how far temperatures drop below the seasonal average of 14–15°C. With leading market probabilities clustered tightly around 11–13°C, traders are weighting near-term model consensus on boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds while noting that small forecast adjustments in the final 48 hours could shift resolution between these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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