Recent model consensus from Météo-France, GFS, and ECMWF places the overnight minimum in Paris near 12–13°C on September 17, 2026, driven by moderate southwesterly flow of maritime air, widespread cloud cover limiting radiational cooling, and light winds that reduce the diurnal temperature range. Early-morning observations and hourly guidance show readings holding around 13–14°C before dawn, consistent with the late-September climatological average low of roughly 11.4°C but tempered by the current stable pressure field near 1019–1020 hPa. Traders have priced 13°C highest at 60.5% and 12°C at 35.5% because updated runs through the morning have narrowed the likely range and show little support for sub-11°C outcomes under prevailing conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 17 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 17 de septiembre?
13°C 68%
12°C 36%
11°C 7%
10°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
8°C o menos
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
4%
11°C
7%
12°C
36%
13°C
61%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o más
<1%
13°C 68%
12°C 36%
11°C 7%
10°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
8°C o menos
$41 Vol.
1%
9°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$321 Vol.
4%
11°C
$909 Vol.
7%
12°C
$971 Vol.
36%
13°C
$1,414 Vol.
61%
14°C
$783 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
18°C o más
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France, GFS, and ECMWF places the overnight minimum in Paris near 12–13°C on September 17, 2026, driven by moderate southwesterly flow of maritime air, widespread cloud cover limiting radiational cooling, and light winds that reduce the diurnal temperature range. Early-morning observations and hourly guidance show readings holding around 13–14°C before dawn, consistent with the late-September climatological average low of roughly 11.4°C but tempered by the current stable pressure field near 1019–1020 hPa. Traders have priced 13°C highest at 60.5% and 12°C at 35.5% because updated runs through the morning have narrowed the likely range and show little support for sub-11°C outcomes under prevailing conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$4,655Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France, GFS, and ECMWF places the overnight minimum in Paris near 12–13°C on September 17, 2026, driven by moderate southwesterly flow of maritime air, widespread cloud cover limiting radiational cooling, and light winds that reduce the diurnal temperature range. Early-morning observations and hourly guidance show readings holding around 13–14°C before dawn, consistent with the late-September climatological average low of roughly 11.4°C but tempered by the current stable pressure field near 1019–1020 hPa. Traders have priced 13°C highest at 60.5% and 12°C at 35.5% because updated runs through the morning have narrowed the likely range and show little support for sub-11°C outcomes under prevailing conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,655Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Météo-France, GFS, and ECMWF places the overnight minimum in Paris near 12–13°C on September 17, 2026, driven by moderate southwesterly flow of maritime air, widespread cloud cover limiting radiational cooling, and light winds that reduce the diurnal temperature range. Early-morning observations and hourly guidance show readings holding around 13–14°C before dawn, consistent with the late-September climatological average low of roughly 11.4°C but tempered by the current stable pressure field near 1019–1020 hPa. Traders have priced 13°C highest at 60.5% and 12°C at 35.5% because updated runs through the morning have narrowed the likely range and show little support for sub-11°C outcomes under prevailing conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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