Current forecasts from European and global models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Paris on September 6, with light easterly winds and high pressure favoring radiational cooling overnight. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustered around 13–15 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on variables such as exact cloud-cover timing, boundary-layer mixing from surface winds, and localized urban heat-island effects that can alter the rate of nocturnal temperature drop by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 6 de septiembre?
20°C o más 53%
11°C 49%
15°C 40%
16°C 34%
10°C o menos
-
11°C
49%
12°C
15%
13°C
26%
14°C
19%
15°C
40%
16°C
34%
17°C
20%
18°C
19%
19°C
8%
20°C o más
53%
20°C o más 53%
11°C 49%
15°C 40%
16°C 34%
10°C o menos
-
11°C
49%
12°C
15%
13°C
26%
14°C
19%
15°C
40%
16°C
34%
17°C
20%
18°C
19%
19°C
8%
20°C o más
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from European and global models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Paris on September 6, with light easterly winds and high pressure favoring radiational cooling overnight. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustered around 13–15 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on variables such as exact cloud-cover timing, boundary-layer mixing from surface winds, and localized urban heat-island effects that can alter the rate of nocturnal temperature drop by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes