Latest numerical weather predictions from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 22°C for Qingdao on September 17 under mostly cloudy skies with southeasterly winds of 3–4 levels. Persistent onshore flow from the Yellow Sea limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while moderate humidity and cloud cover maintain overnight lows around this level rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (44.5%) to 19°C or below, suggesting market pricing incorporates model spread or potential for localized variations, even as most guidance clusters near 22°C. Official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution, with any late forecast adjustments from updated model runs likely to influence near-term positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Qingdao el 17 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Qingdao el 17 de septiembre?
29°C o superior 55%
19°C o menos 46%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
19°C o menos
46%
20°C
31%
21°C
24%
22°C
11%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
13%
27°C
13%
28°C
14%
29°C o superior
55%
29°C o superior 55%
19°C o menos 46%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
19°C o menos
$0 Vol.
46%
20°C
$0 Vol.
31%
21°C
$0 Vol.
24%
22°C
$0 Vol.
11%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
13%
27°C
$0 Vol.
13%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29°C o superior
$0 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather predictions from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 22°C for Qingdao on September 17 under mostly cloudy skies with southeasterly winds of 3–4 levels. Persistent onshore flow from the Yellow Sea limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while moderate humidity and cloud cover maintain overnight lows around this level rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (44.5%) to 19°C or below, suggesting market pricing incorporates model spread or potential for localized variations, even as most guidance clusters near 22°C. Official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution, with any late forecast adjustments from updated model runs likely to influence near-term positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather predictions from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 22°C for Qingdao on September 17 under mostly cloudy skies with southeasterly winds of 3–4 levels. Persistent onshore flow from the Yellow Sea limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while moderate humidity and cloud cover maintain overnight lows around this level rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (44.5%) to 19°C or below, suggesting market pricing incorporates model spread or potential for localized variations, even as most guidance clusters near 22°C. Official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution, with any late forecast adjustments from updated model runs likely to influence near-term positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather predictions from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 22°C for Qingdao on September 17 under mostly cloudy skies with southeasterly winds of 3–4 levels. Persistent onshore flow from the Yellow Sea limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while moderate humidity and cloud cover maintain overnight lows around this level rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (44.5%) to 19°C or below, suggesting market pricing incorporates model spread or potential for localized variations, even as most guidance clusters near 22°C. Official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution, with any late forecast adjustments from updated model runs likely to influence near-term positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes