Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C for Incheon on August 24, aligning with the market’s tight 25°C–26°C pricing and reflecting typical late-August seasonal cooling after peak summer heat. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover can limit radiative cooling and keep minima elevated, while any clearer skies or increased wind shear could push readings 1°C lower. Historical Incheon data show late-month lows averaging near 25°C with a standard deviation of roughly 1.5°C, explaining why 24°C and 27°C retain meaningful probability. Updated model runs through the weekend and KMA’s next 48-hour forecast will provide the key data points for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 24 de agosto?
26°C 43%
25°C 34%
27°C 13%
24°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
6%
24°C
12%
25°C
34%
26°C
43%
27°C
13%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
26°C 43%
25°C 34%
27°C 13%
24°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
22°C
$5 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
6%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C
$49 Vol.
34%
26°C
$66 Vol.
43%
27°C
$33 Vol.
13%
28°C
$5 Vol.
4%
29°C
$5 Vol.
3%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C for Incheon on August 24, aligning with the market’s tight 25°C–26°C pricing and reflecting typical late-August seasonal cooling after peak summer heat. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover can limit radiative cooling and keep minima elevated, while any clearer skies or increased wind shear could push readings 1°C lower. Historical Incheon data show late-month lows averaging near 25°C with a standard deviation of roughly 1.5°C, explaining why 24°C and 27°C retain meaningful probability. Updated model runs through the weekend and KMA’s next 48-hour forecast will provide the key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$178Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C for Incheon on August 24, aligning with the market’s tight 25°C–26°C pricing and reflecting typical late-August seasonal cooling after peak summer heat. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover can limit radiative cooling and keep minima elevated, while any clearer skies or increased wind shear could push readings 1°C lower. Historical Incheon data show late-month lows averaging near 25°C with a standard deviation of roughly 1.5°C, explaining why 24°C and 27°C retain meaningful probability. Updated model runs through the weekend and KMA’s next 48-hour forecast will provide the key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$178Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C for Incheon on August 24, aligning with the market’s tight 25°C–26°C pricing and reflecting typical late-August seasonal cooling after peak summer heat. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover can limit radiative cooling and keep minima elevated, while any clearer skies or increased wind shear could push readings 1°C lower. Historical Incheon data show late-month lows averaging near 25°C with a standard deviation of roughly 1.5°C, explaining why 24°C and 27°C retain meaningful probability. Updated model runs through the weekend and KMA’s next 48-hour forecast will provide the key data points for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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