Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a likely overnight low of 23°C in Shanghai on September 11 under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeast winds. This consensus supports the market's strong 63.5% implied probability for 23°C as the daily minimum, followed by 31.5% for 22°C. Persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity from the current pattern limit radiative cooling, while the absence of stronger northerly flow or precipitation keeps temperatures from dropping further. Updated model runs and surface observations through September 10 evening reinforce this narrow range, with minimal expected deviation before the 24-hour period resolves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 11 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 11 de septiembre?
23°C 49%
22°C 38%
21°C 5%
24°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
38%
23°C
49%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C o más
<1%
23°C 49%
22°C 38%
21°C 5%
24°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
19°C o menos
$191 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$20 Vol.
1%
21°C
$62 Vol.
5%
22°C
$1,008 Vol.
38%
23°C
$2,410 Vol.
49%
24°C
$1,671 Vol.
3%
25°C
$368 Vol.
1%
26°C
$20 Vol.
1%
27°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
29°C o más
$183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a likely overnight low of 23°C in Shanghai on September 11 under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeast winds. This consensus supports the market's strong 63.5% implied probability for 23°C as the daily minimum, followed by 31.5% for 22°C. Persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity from the current pattern limit radiative cooling, while the absence of stronger northerly flow or precipitation keeps temperatures from dropping further. Updated model runs and surface observations through September 10 evening reinforce this narrow range, with minimal expected deviation before the 24-hour period resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$6,326Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a likely overnight low of 23°C in Shanghai on September 11 under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeast winds. This consensus supports the market's strong 63.5% implied probability for 23°C as the daily minimum, followed by 31.5% for 22°C. Persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity from the current pattern limit radiative cooling, while the absence of stronger northerly flow or precipitation keeps temperatures from dropping further. Updated model runs and surface observations through September 10 evening reinforce this narrow range, with minimal expected deviation before the 24-hour period resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,326Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a likely overnight low of 23°C in Shanghai on September 11 under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeast winds. This consensus supports the market's strong 63.5% implied probability for 23°C as the daily minimum, followed by 31.5% for 22°C. Persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity from the current pattern limit radiative cooling, while the absence of stronger northerly flow or precipitation keeps temperatures from dropping further. Updated model runs and surface observations through September 10 evening reinforce this narrow range, with minimal expected deviation before the 24-hour period resolves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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