Current forecasts from meteorological services indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on August 22 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble models show modest spread driven by uncertainty in timing and extent of overnight rain and wind patterns, which can alter minimum readings by 1–2°C. Historical August averages of 26°C provide baseline context, while urban heat effects and regional steering flows from the western Pacific further influence outcomes; updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 22 de agosto?
30°C 44%
27°C 35%
26°C 30%
28°C 27%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
23%
26°C
30%
27°C
35%
28°C
27%
29°C
4%
30°C
44%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 44%
27°C 35%
26°C 30%
28°C 27%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
23%
26°C
30%
27°C
35%
28°C
27%
29°C
4%
30°C
44%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological services indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on August 22 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble models show modest spread driven by uncertainty in timing and extent of overnight rain and wind patterns, which can alter minimum readings by 1–2°C. Historical August averages of 26°C provide baseline context, while urban heat effects and regional steering flows from the western Pacific further influence outcomes; updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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