Persistent rain and cloud cover from active convergence zones and nearby tropical disturbances are the main drivers keeping trader focus on cooler minimums for Shenzhen on August 23. Official forecasts from local meteorological sources project overnight lows of 26–28°C under mostly overcast skies with frequent showers, consistent with August climatology of 26–27°C averages but tempered by reduced solar heating. Model consensus shows limited diurnal range due to high humidity and precipitation, with little support for drops below 24°C. Recent heavy rain episodes have already produced similar nighttime readings, reinforcing the market-implied tilt toward the 22°C-or-below bin while highlighting forecast uncertainty around exact cloud persistence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 23 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 23 de agosto?
22°C or below 85%
30°C 51%
31°C 51%
32°C or higher 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
22°C or below
85%
23°C
45%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
30%
28°C
27%
29°C
26%
30°C
51%
31°C
51%
32°C or higher
50%
22°C or below 85%
30°C 51%
31°C 51%
32°C or higher 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
85%
23°C
$5 Vol.
45%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$5 Vol.
51%
31°C
$5 Vol.
51%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and cloud cover from active convergence zones and nearby tropical disturbances are the main drivers keeping trader focus on cooler minimums for Shenzhen on August 23. Official forecasts from local meteorological sources project overnight lows of 26–28°C under mostly overcast skies with frequent showers, consistent with August climatology of 26–27°C averages but tempered by reduced solar heating. Model consensus shows limited diurnal range due to high humidity and precipitation, with little support for drops below 24°C. Recent heavy rain episodes have already produced similar nighttime readings, reinforcing the market-implied tilt toward the 22°C-or-below bin while highlighting forecast uncertainty around exact cloud persistence.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and cloud cover from active convergence zones and nearby tropical disturbances are the main drivers keeping trader focus on cooler minimums for Shenzhen on August 23. Official forecasts from local meteorological sources project overnight lows of 26–28°C under mostly overcast skies with frequent showers, consistent with August climatology of 26–27°C averages but tempered by reduced solar heating. Model consensus shows limited diurnal range due to high humidity and precipitation, with little support for drops below 24°C. Recent heavy rain episodes have already produced similar nighttime readings, reinforcing the market-implied tilt toward the 22°C-or-below bin while highlighting forecast uncertainty around exact cloud persistence.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and cloud cover from active convergence zones and nearby tropical disturbances are the main drivers keeping trader focus on cooler minimums for Shenzhen on August 23. Official forecasts from local meteorological sources project overnight lows of 26–28°C under mostly overcast skies with frequent showers, consistent with August climatology of 26–27°C averages but tempered by reduced solar heating. Model consensus shows limited diurnal range due to high humidity and precipitation, with little support for drops below 24°C. Recent heavy rain episodes have already produced similar nighttime readings, reinforcing the market-implied tilt toward the 22°C-or-below bin while highlighting forecast uncertainty around exact cloud persistence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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