Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr, and PredictWind indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 12 will likely settle between 24–26°C amid persistent subtropical warmth, high humidity near 80%, and cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with typical September climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures average 24–26°C and rarely fall below 23°C without stronger cold-air intrusions. Trader emphasis on 27°C as the leading outcome reflects model consensus on minimal overnight drops, while lower-probability outcomes around 22–23°C account for potential localized cooling if showers intensify or winds shift. Updated model runs and official monitoring agency briefings expected overnight will clarify any last adjustments before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 12 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 12 de septiembre?
22°C 91%
21°C o menos 87%
23°C 81%
24°C 76%
$468 Vol.
$468 Vol.
12 sep 2026
21°C o menos
87%
22°C
91%
23°C
81%
24°C
76%
25°C
33%
26°C
34%
27°C
68%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
22°C 91%
21°C o menos 87%
23°C 81%
24°C 76%
$468 Vol.
$468 Vol.
12 sep 2026
21°C o menos
$0 Vol.
87%
22°C
$0 Vol.
91%
23°C
$15 Vol.
81%
24°C
$47 Vol.
76%
25°C
$31 Vol.
33%
26°C
$52 Vol.
34%
27°C
$187 Vol.
68%
28°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
31°C o más
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr, and PredictWind indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 12 will likely settle between 24–26°C amid persistent subtropical warmth, high humidity near 80%, and cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with typical September climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures average 24–26°C and rarely fall below 23°C without stronger cold-air intrusions. Trader emphasis on 27°C as the leading outcome reflects model consensus on minimal overnight drops, while lower-probability outcomes around 22–23°C account for potential localized cooling if showers intensify or winds shift. Updated model runs and official monitoring agency briefings expected overnight will clarify any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$468Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr, and PredictWind indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 12 will likely settle between 24–26°C amid persistent subtropical warmth, high humidity near 80%, and cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with typical September climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures average 24–26°C and rarely fall below 23°C without stronger cold-air intrusions. Trader emphasis on 27°C as the leading outcome reflects model consensus on minimal overnight drops, while lower-probability outcomes around 22–23°C account for potential localized cooling if showers intensify or winds shift. Updated model runs and official monitoring agency briefings expected overnight will clarify any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$468Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr, and PredictWind indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 12 will likely settle between 24–26°C amid persistent subtropical warmth, high humidity near 80%, and cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with typical September climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures average 24–26°C and rarely fall below 23°C without stronger cold-air intrusions. Trader emphasis on 27°C as the leading outcome reflects model consensus on minimal overnight drops, while lower-probability outcomes around 22–23°C account for potential localized cooling if showers intensify or winds shift. Updated model runs and official monitoring agency briefings expected overnight will clarify any last adjustments before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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