**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Shenzhen on September 20, driven by persistent subtropical warmth and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Current observations and model guidance show nighttime temperatures holding between 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and dew points near 24–25°C, preventing deeper drops. This aligns with typical early-autumn baselines for the region, where September lows average around 24–26°C but have remained elevated amid ongoing warm advection. Lower-probability outcomes like 24°C would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies for enhanced cooling, scenarios not supported by the latest forecasts. Official station data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration will determine the final recorded minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 20 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 20 de septiembre?
27°C 98%
22°C o menos 93%
24°C 20%
23°C 1.0%
$675 Vol.
$675 Vol.
20 sep 2026
22°C o menos
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Sí
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C o más
No
27°C 98%
22°C o menos 93%
24°C 20%
23°C 1.0%
$675 Vol.
$675 Vol.
20 sep 2026
22°C o menos
$0 Vol.
No
23°C
$0 Vol.
No
24°C
$15 Vol.
No
25°C
$63 Vol.
No
26°C
$320 Vol.
No
27°C
$123 Vol.
Sí
28°C
$37 Vol.
No
29°C
$31 Vol.
No
30°C
$25 Vol.
No
31°C
$31 Vol.
No
32°C o más
$31 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Shenzhen on September 20, driven by persistent subtropical warmth and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Current observations and model guidance show nighttime temperatures holding between 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and dew points near 24–25°C, preventing deeper drops. This aligns with typical early-autumn baselines for the region, where September lows average around 24–26°C but have remained elevated amid ongoing warm advection. Lower-probability outcomes like 24°C would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies for enhanced cooling, scenarios not supported by the latest forecasts. Official station data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration will determine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$675Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Shenzhen on September 20, driven by persistent subtropical warmth and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Current observations and model guidance show nighttime temperatures holding between 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and dew points near 24–25°C, preventing deeper drops. This aligns with typical early-autumn baselines for the region, where September lows average around 24–26°C but have remained elevated amid ongoing warm advection. Lower-probability outcomes like 24°C would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies for enhanced cooling, scenarios not supported by the latest forecasts. Official station data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration will determine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$675Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Shenzhen on September 20, driven by persistent subtropical warmth and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Current observations and model guidance show nighttime temperatures holding between 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and dew points near 24–25°C, preventing deeper drops. This aligns with typical early-autumn baselines for the region, where September lows average around 24–26°C but have remained elevated amid ongoing warm advection. Lower-probability outcomes like 24°C would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies for enhanced cooling, scenarios not supported by the latest forecasts. Official station data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration will determine the final recorded minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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