**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as Tokyo’s lowest temperature on September 11, 2026, with 99% implied probability.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs project a nighttime minimum near 19°C under persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and periods of rain that limit radiational cooling while maintaining high humidity near 90%. This aligns with the seasonal September average low of approximately 20°C and recent observations showing overnight readings stabilizing in the 19–20°C range. The outcome reflects the wisdom of crowds aggregating real-time meteorological data rather than a guarantee. A sudden late-evening clearing or stronger northerly advection could nudge the minimum slightly lower, while delayed rain or warmer boundary-layer air might keep it at or above 20°C; resolution depends on the official Tokyo station reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 11 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 11 de septiembre?
19°C 100.0%
14°C o menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$7,813 Vol.
$7,813 Vol.
11 sep 2026
14°C o menos
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Sí
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C o más
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C o menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$7,813 Vol.
$7,813 Vol.
11 sep 2026
14°C o menos
$86 Vol.
No
15°C
$107 Vol.
No
16°C
$467 Vol.
No
17°C
$501 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,510 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,282 Vol.
Sí
20°C
$2,379 Vol.
No
21°C
$127 Vol.
No
22°C
$72 Vol.
No
23°C
$191 Vol.
No
24°C o más
$91 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as Tokyo’s lowest temperature on September 11, 2026, with 99% implied probability.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs project a nighttime minimum near 19°C under persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and periods of rain that limit radiational cooling while maintaining high humidity near 90%. This aligns with the seasonal September average low of approximately 20°C and recent observations showing overnight readings stabilizing in the 19–20°C range. The outcome reflects the wisdom of crowds aggregating real-time meteorological data rather than a guarantee. A sudden late-evening clearing or stronger northerly advection could nudge the minimum slightly lower, while delayed rain or warmer boundary-layer air might keep it at or above 20°C; resolution depends on the official Tokyo station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$7,813Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as Tokyo’s lowest temperature on September 11, 2026, with 99% implied probability.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs project a nighttime minimum near 19°C under persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and periods of rain that limit radiational cooling while maintaining high humidity near 90%. This aligns with the seasonal September average low of approximately 20°C and recent observations showing overnight readings stabilizing in the 19–20°C range. The outcome reflects the wisdom of crowds aggregating real-time meteorological data rather than a guarantee. A sudden late-evening clearing or stronger northerly advection could nudge the minimum slightly lower, while delayed rain or warmer boundary-layer air might keep it at or above 20°C; resolution depends on the official Tokyo station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,813Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as Tokyo’s lowest temperature on September 11, 2026, with 99% implied probability.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs project a nighttime minimum near 19°C under persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and periods of rain that limit radiational cooling while maintaining high humidity near 90%. This aligns with the seasonal September average low of approximately 20°C and recent observations showing overnight readings stabilizing in the 19–20°C range. The outcome reflects the wisdom of crowds aggregating real-time meteorological data rather than a guarantee. A sudden late-evening clearing or stronger northerly advection could nudge the minimum slightly lower, while delayed rain or warmer boundary-layer air might keep it at or above 20°C; resolution depends on the official Tokyo station reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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